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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Salford City |
| 31.73% ( | 28.07% ( | 40.21% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41% ( | 59% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.53% ( | 79.47% ( |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.88% ( | 34.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.19% ( | 70.81% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.29% ( | 28.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.46% ( | 64.55% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Salford City |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% ( 2-1 @ 7.07% ( 2-0 @ 5.66% ( 3-1 @ 2.53% ( 3-0 @ 2.03% ( 3-2 @ 1.58% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 31.72% | 1-1 @ 13.14% ( 0-0 @ 9.8% ( 2-2 @ 4.41% ( Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.06% | 0-1 @ 12.22% ( 1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0-2 @ 7.63% ( 1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0-3 @ 3.17% ( 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 1.68% Total : 40.2% |