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Walsall
Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Salford City

Gillingham
0 - 3
Salford City


Reeves (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vassell (54'), Watson (61'), Hendry (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Gillingham 0-2 Salford City

Gillingham have been stronger at home than on the road this season, but despite having that improved form it is still unlikely that they will take three points this weekend. Salford City must get back to winning ways in the league to keep the pressure on the other teams pushing for promotion, and that is what they should be able to do here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawSalford City
31.73% (0.097000000000001 0.1) 28.07% (-0.3 -0.3) 40.21% (0.209 0.21)
Both teams to score 46.96% (0.871 0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41% (1.074 1.07)59% (-1.067 -1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.53% (0.826 0.83)79.47% (-0.81800000000001 -0.82)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.88% (0.64 0.64)34.12% (-0.633 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.19% (0.681 0.68)70.81% (-0.67400000000001 -0.67)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.29% (0.64200000000001 0.64)28.72% (-0.634 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.46% (0.791 0.79)64.55% (-0.785 -0.78)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 31.72%
    Salford City 40.2%
    Draw 28.06%
GillinghamDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 10.53% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-1 @ 7.07% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 5.66% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.53% (0.073 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.03% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 31.72%
1-1 @ 13.14% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 9.8% (-0.401 -0.4)
2-2 @ 4.41% (0.129 0.13)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.06%
0-1 @ 12.22% (-0.28 -0.28)
1-2 @ 8.2% (0.101 0.1)
0-2 @ 7.63% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.41% (0.101 0.1)
0-3 @ 3.17% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.085 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.05 0.05)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 40.2%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Salford City

Gillingham
35.7%
Draw
7.1%
Salford City
57.1%
14
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15BarrowBarrow196581818023
16Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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