Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Leicester City |
44.47% ( -0.47) | 24.89% ( 0.07) | 30.63% ( 0.4) |
Both teams to score 56.37% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.3% ( -0.13) | 46.69% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.04% ( -0.12) | 68.96% ( 0.11) |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.96% ( -0.26) | 21.04% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.16% ( -0.41) | 53.84% ( 0.41) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.4% ( 0.21) | 28.6% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.6% ( 0.26) | 64.4% ( -0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Leicester City |
1-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.62% Total : 44.47% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.65% Total : 30.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 33 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 76 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
11 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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