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Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Molineux
Nottingham Forest logo

Wolves
1 - 0
Nott'm Forest

Neves (56' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 3-0 Wolves
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 24.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wolverhampton Wanderers in this match.

Result
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawNottingham Forest
49.04% (0.33 0.33)26.32% (-0.133 -0.13)24.63% (-0.206 -0.21)
Both teams to score 47.6% (0.177 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.92% (0.323 0.32)56.07% (-0.33 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.85% (0.262 0.26)77.15% (-0.268 -0.27)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.08% (0.286 0.29)22.92% (-0.293 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.32% (0.423 0.42)56.68% (-0.43 -0.43)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)38.24% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 49.04%
    Nottingham Forest 24.63%
    Draw 26.32%
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 12.91% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.51% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.67% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.49% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.72% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 49.04%
1-1 @ 12.41% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.76% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.39% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 26.32%
0-1 @ 8.42% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-2 @ 5.97% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.05% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 24.63%

How you voted: Wolves vs Nott'm Forest

Wolverhampton Wanderers
71.3%
Draw
19.5%
Nottingham Forest
9.2%
174
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2021 8pm
Jan 20, 2018 3pm
Wolves
0-2
Nott'm Forest

Coady (38'), Jota (64'), Bennett (90')
Dowell (40'), Osborn (43')
Fox (6'), Worrall (19'), Bridcutt (30')
Sep 16, 2017 3pm
Nott'm Forest
1-2
Wolves
Carayol (75')
Mills (82'), Bridcutt (90')
Jota (47', 81')
Cavaleiro (57'), Marshall (90')
Apr 4, 2017 7.45pm
Wolves
1-0
Nott'm Forest
Dicko (62')
Batth (69'), Edwards (76')

Fox (56')
Fox (92')
Dec 17, 2016 3pm
Nott'm Forest
0-2
Wolves

Vellios (32'), Mills (57')
Costa (40'), Cavaleiro (79')
Price (27'), Doherty (78'), Cavaleiro (79')