Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 24.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wolverhampton Wanderers in this match.
Result | ||
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
49.04% ( 0.33) | 26.32% ( -0.13) | 24.63% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 47.6% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.92% ( 0.32) | 56.07% ( -0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.85% ( 0.26) | 77.15% ( -0.27) |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.08% ( 0.29) | 22.92% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.32% ( 0.42) | 56.68% ( -0.43) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.75% ( -0) | 38.24% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.99% ( -0) | 75% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
1-0 @ 12.91% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.78% Total : 49.04% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.76% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.58% Total : 24.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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