Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Everton had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bournemouth | Draw | Everton |
| 43.35% ( | 26.82% ( | 29.82% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.83% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45% ( | 55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.73% ( | 76.27% ( |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.83% ( | 25.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.11% ( | 59.88% ( |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.58% ( | 33.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.96% ( | 70.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bournemouth | Draw | Everton |
| 1-0 @ 11.6% ( 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 2-0 @ 8% ( 3-1 @ 4.04% ( 3-0 @ 3.68% ( 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 4-0 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 43.35% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0-0 @ 8.41% ( 2-2 @ 4.81% ( Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.82% | 0-1 @ 9.22% ( 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0-2 @ 5.05% ( 1-3 @ 2.55% ( 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 2-3 @ 1.76% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 29.82% |