Premier League Gameweek 15
Leeds
Nov 5, 2022 3.00pm
4
3
HT : 1 2
FT
Bournemouth
  • Rodrigo 3' goal
  • Sam Greenwood 60' goal
  • Liam Cooper 68' goal
  • Crysencio Summerville 84' goal
  • goal Marcus Tavernier 7'
  • goal Philip Billing 19'
  • goal Dominic Solanke 48'

Leeds United vs Bournemouth - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Oct 29, 2022 7.45pm
Liverpool 1 - 2 Leeds
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Rodrigo

Bournemouth

All competitions
Last game
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
Bournemouth 2 - 3 Spurs
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Philip Billing

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 58.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 20.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result

Leeds United 58.13% ▼ (-0.41)
Draw 21.82% ▲ (+0.05)
Bournemouth 20.04% ▲ (+0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.64% ▲ (+0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.45% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 2.5 42.54% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 3.5 35.05% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 3.5 64.95% ▼ (-0.32)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 85.64% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 14.36% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 57.78% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 42.22% ▲ (+0.05)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5 64.97% ▲ (+0.55)
Under 0.5 35.03% ▼ (-0.55)
Over 1.5 28.22% ▲ (+0.57)
Under 1.5 71.77% ▼ (-0.57)

Score analysis

Leeds United 58.13%
Draw 21.81%
Bournemouth 20.04%
Leeds United
2-1 @ 9.94% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.76% ▼ (-0.15)
2-0 @ 9.47% ▼ (-0.15)
3-1 @ 6.43% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.13% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 58.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.23%
2-2 @ 5.21% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 5.03% ▼ (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.81%
Bournemouth
1-2 @ 5.37% ▲ (+0.09)
0-1 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 20.04%

Head to Head

Championship
Leeds
Jan 20, 2015 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Bournemouth
  • Lewis Cook 15' yellowcard
  • Luke Murphy 36' goal
  • Sam Byram 84' yellowcard
  • Giuseppe Bellusci 86' redcard
  • yellowcard Simon Francis 47'
Championship
Bournemouth
Sep 16, 2014 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT
Leeds
  • Andrew Surman 6' goal
  • Harry Arter 84' yellowcard
  • goal Souleymane Doukara 67'
  • yellowcard Giuseppe Bellusci 80'
  • goal Giuseppe Bellusci 82'
  • goal Mirco Antenucci 89'
Championship
Bournemouth
Mar 25, 2014 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT
Leeds
  • Yann Kermorgant 2' goal
  • Lewis Grabban 18' goal
  • Lewis Grabban 28' goal
  • Yann Kermorgant 51' goal
  • goal Ross McCormack 69'
Championship
Leeds
Oct 1, 2013 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Bournemouth
  • Ross McCormack 52' goal
  • Rodolph Austin 71' yellowcard
  • Dominic Poleon 80' goal
  • Dominic Poleon 85' yellowcard
  • redcard Ryan Allsop 31'
  • yellowcard Simon Francis 42'
  • yellowcard Marc Pugh 59'
  • goal Lewis Grabban 73'
League One
Leeds
Mar 8, 2008 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Bournemouth
  • Rui Marques 2' yellowcard
  • Bradley Johnson 11' goal
  • Neil Kilkenny 63' goal
  • yellowcard Danny Hollands 37'
  • yellowcard Neil Young 50'
League One
Bournemouth
Nov 6, 2007 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
Leeds
  • Jem Karacan 37' goal
  • Lee Bradbury 62' redcard
  • goal Tresor Kandol 4'
  • yellowcard David Prutton 39'
  • goal Seb Carole 54'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Douglas 57'
  • goal Tresor Kandol 86'
  • yellowcard Andy Hughes 89'

Form Data

Liverpool 1 - 2 Leeds
Leeds 2 - 3 Fulham
Leicester 2 - 0 Leeds
Leeds 0 - 1 Arsenal
Crystal Palace 2 - 1 Leeds
Leeds 0 - 0 Aston Villa
Bournemouth 2 - 3 Spurs
West Ham 2 - 0 Bournemouth
Bournemouth 0 - 1 Southampton
Fulham 2 - 2 Bournemouth
Bournemouth 2 - 1 Leicester
Bournemouth 0 - 0 Brentford

Build-up

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