Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Crystal Palace |
| 42.09% ( | 27.25% ( | 30.65% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.95% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.69% ( | 56.3% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.66% ( | 77.33% ( |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.59% ( | 26.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.43% ( | 61.57% ( |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.51% ( | 33.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.88% ( | 70.11% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Crystal Palace |
| 1-0 @ 11.77% ( 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 2-0 @ 7.84% ( 3-1 @ 3.81% ( 3-0 @ 3.48% ( 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 4-0 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.11% Total : 42.09% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 8.84% ( 2-2 @ 4.69% ( Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.25% | 0-1 @ 9.67% ( 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0-2 @ 5.29% ( 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0-3 @ 1.93% ( 2-3 @ 1.71% ( Other @ 2.43% Total : 30.66% |