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Premier League | Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
Goodison Park
Crystal Palace logo

Everton
3 - 0
Crystal Palace

Calvert-Lewin (11'), Gordon (63'), McNeil (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Everton and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Everton
Wednesday, October 19 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 2-1 Wolves
Tuesday, October 18 at 8.15pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.

Result
EvertonDrawCrystal Palace
42.09% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)27.25% (-0.023 -0.02)30.65% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 48.95% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.69% (0.104 0.1)56.3% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.66% (0.084 0.08)77.33% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.59% (0.024000000000001 0.02)26.41% (-0.026999999999997 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.43% (0.033999999999999 0.03)61.57% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.51% (0.097999999999999 0.1)33.48% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.88% (0.111 0.11)70.11% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Everton 42.09%
    Crystal Palace 30.66%
    Draw 27.25%
EvertonDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 11.77% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.58% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.81% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 3.48% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.27% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 42.09%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 8.84% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.25%
0-1 @ 9.67% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.05% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.29% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.93% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 30.66%

How you voted: Everton vs Crystal Palace

Everton
39.0%
Draw
29.7%
Crystal Palace
31.3%
300
Head to Head
May 19, 2022 7.45pm
Everton
3-2
Crystal Palace
Keane (54'), Richarlison (75'), Calvert-Lewin (85')
Keane (67'), Doucoure (82')
Mateta (21'), Ayew (36')
Hughes (32'), Ayew (34'), Zaha (69')
Mar 20, 2022 12.30pm
Crystal Palace
4-0
Everton
Guehi (25'), Mateta (41'), Zaha (79'), Hughes (87')

Gordon (62'), Gomes (64')
Dec 12, 2021 4.30pm
Crystal Palace
3-1
Everton
Gallagher (41', 90+3'), Tomkins (62')
Rondon (70')
Doucoure (72'), Gray (76')
Apr 5, 2021 6pm
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Crystal Palace
1-2
Everton
Kouyate (26')
Zaha (23'), McArthur (45+3'), Ward (59')
Calvert-Lewin (10'), Richarlison (40' pen.)
Richarlison (60')
rhs 2.0


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