Bournemouth logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Vitality Stadium
Everton logo

Bournemouth
4 - 1
Everton

Lowe (7'), Stanislas (47'), Marcondes (78'), Anthony (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gray (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Bournemouth and Everton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 4-3 Bournemouth
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 0-2 Leicester
Saturday, November 5 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Everton had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
BournemouthDrawEverton
41.74% (0.026999999999994 0.03)25.72% (-0.004999999999999 -0)32.54% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.42% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.4% (0.014000000000003 0.01)49.61% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.38% (0.015000000000001 0.02)71.63% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.43% (0.021000000000001 0.02)23.58% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.36% (0.027999999999999 0.03)57.64% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.21% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)28.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.37% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)64.64% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 41.74%
    Everton 32.54%
    Draw 25.72%
BournemouthDrawEverton
1-0 @ 9.81%
2-1 @ 8.82% (0.0029999999999983 0)
2-0 @ 7.09% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.25% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 41.74%
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 6.79% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 8.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.26% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.16% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.28%
0-3 @ 2.18% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 32.54%

How you voted: Bournemouth vs Everton

Bournemouth
41.4%
Draw
21.9%
Everton
36.7%
128
Head to Head
Jul 26, 2020 4pm
Everton
1-3
Bournemouth
Kean (41')
Keane (79')
King (13' pen.), Solanke (45+1'), Stanislas (80')
Jan 13, 2019 2.15pm
Everton
2-0
Bournemouth
Zouma (61'), Calvert-Lewin (90')
Bernard (38'), Keane (65'), Gomes (66'), Zouma (66'), Richarlison (84')
Aug 25, 2018 3pm
Bournemouth
2-2
Everton
King (75' pen.), Ake (79')
Smith (62')
Walcott (56'), Keane (66')
Sigurdsson (55'), Tosun (70'), Gueye (81')
de Andrade (41')
Dec 30, 2017 3pm