Premier League
Gameweek
17
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-
Ollie Watkins
59'
-
Mohamed Salah
5'
-
Virgil van Dijk
37'
-
Stefan Bajcetic
81'
Aston Villa vs Liverpool - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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The match
Result
Team News
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Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 67.56%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 15.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.91%) and 1-3 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.18%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 2-1 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
Result
Aston Villa
15.33%
Draw
17.09%
Liverpool
67.56%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
63.45%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
71.88%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
28.11%
Over 3.5
51.11%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
48.88%
▼
(-0.01)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5
68.75%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
31.24%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
32.41%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
67.58%
▼
(-0.01)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5
92.28%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
7.71%
Over 1.5
72.51%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
27.48%
Score analysis
Aston Villa
15.33%
Draw
17.09%
Liverpool
67.56%
Aston Villa
2-1
@
4.18%
1-0 @ 2.8%
3-2 @ 2.08%
2-0 @ 1.63%
3-1 @ 1.62%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 15.33%
1-0 @ 2.8%
3-2 @ 2.08%
2-0 @ 1.63%
3-1 @ 1.62%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 15.33%
Draw
1-1
@
7.18%
2-2 @ 5.35%
0-0 @ 2.41%
3-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 17.09%
2-2 @ 5.35%
0-0 @ 2.41%
3-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 17.09%
Liverpool
1-2
@
9.2%
0-2 @ 7.91%
1-3 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 6.76% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.18%
1-4 @ 5.03%
2-3 @ 4.57%
0-4 @ 4.33%
2-4 @ 2.93%
1-5 @ 2.58%
0-5 @ 2.22%
2-5 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.01)
3-4 @ 1.14%
1-6 @ 1.1%
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 67.56%
0-2 @ 7.91%
1-3 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 6.76% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.18%
1-4 @ 5.03%
2-3 @ 4.57%
0-4 @ 4.33%
2-4 @ 2.93%
1-5 @ 2.58%
0-5 @ 2.22%
2-5 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.01)
3-4 @ 1.14%
1-6 @ 1.1%
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 67.56%
Head to Head
Premier League
Gameweek
33
-
Douglas Luiz
3'
-
Joel Matip
6'
-
Sadio Mane
65'
Premier League
Gameweek
16
-
Virgil van Dijk
13'
-
Mohamed Salah
67'
-
Marvelous Nakamba
19'
-
Ollie Watkins
24'
Premier League
Gameweek
31
-
Mohamed Salah
57'
-
James Milner
65'
-
Andrew Robertson
74'
-
Trent Alexander-Arnold
90'+1'
-
Ezri Konsa
25'
-
Ollie Watkins
43'
-
Douglas Luiz
49'
-
Matt Targett
73'
-
Ollie Watkins
85'
FA Cup
-
Louie Barry
41'
-
Sadio Mane
4'
-
Curtis Jones
44'
-
Georginio Wijnaldum
60'
-
Sadio Mane
63'
-
Mohamed Salah
65'
Premier League
Gameweek
4
-
Ollie Watkins
4'
-
Ollie Watkins
22'
-
John McGinn
35'
-
Ollie Watkins
39'
-
Douglas Luiz
46'
-
Ross Barkley
55'
-
Jack Grealish
66'
-
Jack Grealish
75'
-
Marvelous Nakamba
90'+2'
-
Mohamed Salah
33'
-
Virgil van Dijk
38'
-
Mohamed Salah
60'
Premier League
Gameweek
33
-
Andrew Robertson
20'
-
Sadio Mane
71'
-
Curtis Jones
89'
-
John McGinn
36'
Form Data
Build-up
News
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