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Premier League | Gameweek 17
Dec 26, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Villa Park
Liverpool logo

Aston Villa
1 - 3
Liverpool

Watkins (59')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Salah (5'), van Dijk (37'), Bajcetic (81')

The Match

Match Report

Stefan Bajcetic scores his first senior goal as Liverpool survived a minor scare to record a 3-1 win over Aston Villa in their Premier League Boxing Day showdown.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Monday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Liverpool.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Liverpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Liverpool could line up for their Premier League Boxing Day clash with Aston Villa.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Liverpool's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League Boxing Day clash with Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 0-1 Villarreal
Thursday, December 15 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 67.56%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 15.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.91%) and 1-3 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.18%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 2-1 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawLiverpool
15.33%17.09%67.56% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Both teams to score 63.45% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.88% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)28.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.11% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)48.88% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.75% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)31.24% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.41% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)67.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.28% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)7.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.51% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)27.48%
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 15.33%
    Liverpool 67.56%
    Draw 17.09%
Aston VillaDrawLiverpool
2-1 @ 4.18%
1-0 @ 2.8%
3-2 @ 2.08%
2-0 @ 1.63%
3-1 @ 1.62%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 15.33%
1-1 @ 7.18%
2-2 @ 5.35%
0-0 @ 2.41%
3-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 17.09%
1-2 @ 9.2%
0-2 @ 7.91%
1-3 @ 7.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 6.76% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 6.18%
1-4 @ 5.03%
2-3 @ 4.57%
0-4 @ 4.33%
2-4 @ 2.93%
1-5 @ 2.58%
0-5 @ 2.22%
2-5 @ 1.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-4 @ 1.14%
1-6 @ 1.1%
0-6 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 67.56%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Liverpool

Aston Villa
17.2%
Draw
8.4%
Liverpool
74.4%
273
Head to Head
May 10, 2022 8pm
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Liverpool
2-1
Aston Villa
Salah (57'), Alexander-Arnold (90+1')
Milner (65'), Robertson (74')
Watkins (43')
Konsa (25'), Luiz (49'), Targett (73'), Watkins (85')
Jan 8, 2021 7.45pm
Third Round
Aston Villa
1-4
Liverpool
Barry (41')
Mane (4', 63'), Wijnaldum (60'), Salah (65')
Jones (44')
Oct 4, 2020 7.15pm
Aston Villa
7-2
Liverpool
Watkins (4', 22', 39'), McGinn (35'), Barkley (55'), Grealish (66', 75')
Luiz (46'), Nakamba (90+2')
Salah (33', 60')
van Dijk (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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