Premier League Gameweek 11
Aston Villa
Oct 16, 2022 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Chelsea
  • goal Mason Mount 6'
  • goal Mason Mount 65'

Aston Villa vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Reaction

News

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2022 8.00pm
Nott'm Forest 1 - 1 Aston Villa
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Oct 8, 2022 3.00pm
Chelsea 3 - 0 Wolves
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Kai Havertz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 56.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.54%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-0 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result

Aston Villa 19.9% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 23.64% ▼ (-0.01)
Chelsea 56.46% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.62% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.54% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 50.45% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 27.62% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 72.38% ▼ (-0.02)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 60.27%
Under 0.5 39.72% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 23.6%
Under 1.5 76.4% ▼ (-0.01)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 82.31% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 17.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 51.68% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 48.32% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Aston Villa 19.9%
Draw 23.63%
Chelsea 56.45%
Aston Villa
1-0 @ 6.49% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 5.19% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.6%
3-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 19.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.23%
0-0 @ 7.02% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.49%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 23.63%
Chelsea
0-1 @ 12.17%
0-2 @ 10.54%
1-2 @ 9.73%
0-3 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.44% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 56.45%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 19
Aston Villa
Dec 26, 2021 5.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
Chelsea
  • Reece James 28' goal
  • Emiliano Martinez 33' yellowcard
  • Tyrone Mings 65' yellowcard
  • Ezri Konsa 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Jorginho 34'
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 56'
  • yellowcard Marcos Alonso 70'
  • goal Jorginho 90'+3'
EFL Cup
Chelsea
Sep 22, 2021 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stamford Bridge
Aston Villa
  • Malang Sarr 31' yellowcard
  • Timo Werner 54' goal
  • Reece James 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Cameron Archer 64'
  • yellowcard Ashley Young 86'
Premier League Gameweek 4
Chelsea
Sep 11, 2021 5.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Aston Villa
  • Romelu Lukaku 15' goal
  • Mateo Kovacic 49' goal
  • Marcos Alonso 61' yellowcard
  • Romelu Lukaku 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Jacob Ramsey 8'
  • yellowcard Tyrone Mings 28'
  • yellowcard John McGinn 90'
  • yellowcard Matt Targett 90'
Premier League Gameweek 38
Aston Villa
May 23, 2021 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Chelsea
  • Bertrand Traore 43' goal
  • Anwar El Ghazi 52' goal
  • John McGinn 65' yellowcard
  • Marvelous Nakamba 74' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Martinez 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jorginho 45'
  • yellowcard Timo Werner 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Mateo Kovacic 49'
  • goal Ben Chilwell 70'
  • redcard Cesar Azpilicueta 89'
  • yellowcard Kepa Arrizabalaga 90'+5'
Premier League Gameweek 16
Chelsea
Dec 28, 2020 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Aston Villa
  • Olivier Giroud 34' goal
  • Cesar Azpilicueta 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Olivier Giroud 71' yellowcard
  • N'Golo Kante 74' yellowcard
  • goal Anwar El Ghazi 50'
  • yellowcard Anwar El Ghazi 71'
Premier League Gameweek 30
Aston Villa
Jun 21, 2020 4.15pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Villa Park
Chelsea
  • Kortney Hause 43' goal
  • Ezri Konsa 45' redcard
  • Ezri Konsa 45' yellowcard
  • Jack Grealish 90'+6' redcard
  • Jack Grealish 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Christian Pulisic 60'
  • goal Olivier Giroud 62'
  • redcard N'Golo Kante 90'+4'
  • yellowcard N'Golo Kante 90'+4'

Form Data

Nott'm Forest 1 - 1 Aston Villa
Leeds 0 - 0 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 1 - 0 Southampton
Aston Villa 1 - 1 Man City
Arsenal 2 - 1 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 0 - 1 West Ham
AC Milan 0 - 2 Chelsea
Chelsea 3 - 0 Wolves
Chelsea 3 - 0 AC Milan
Crystal Palace 1 - 2 Chelsea
Chelsea 1 - 1 Salzburg
Dinamo Zagreb 1 - 0 Chelsea

Build-up

Team News
News