Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 11

Oct 16, 2022 at 2pm UK

Villa Park

Aston Villa
0 - 2
Chelsea

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mount (6', 65')

Reaction

Mason Mount celebrates scoring for Chelsea against Aston Villa on October 16, 2022

Mason Mount brace sees Chelsea sink Aston Villa

Mason Mount scores twice as Chelsea pile the pressure on Aston Villa manager Steven Gerrard with a 2-0 Premier League win in the West Midlands.

Oct 16, 14:55

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Aston Villa
Monday, October 10 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Chelsea

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: AC Milan 0-2 Chelsea
Tuesday, October 11 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 56.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.54%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-0 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Chelsea
19.9% ( -0)	23.64% ( -0)	56.46% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 49.62% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.54% (

0.01)

50.45% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.62% (

0.01)

72.38% (

-0.01)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.27%

39.72% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.6%

76.4% (

-0)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.31% (

17.68% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.68% (

0.01)

48.32% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 19.9%

Chelsea 56.45%

Draw 23.63%

Aston Villa	Draw	Chelsea
1-0 @ 6.49% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.19% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.99% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.6% 3-2 @ 1.38% 3-0 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.34% Total : 19.9%	1-1 @ 11.23% 0-0 @ 7.02% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.49% Other @ 0.88% Total : 23.63%	0-1 @ 12.17% 0-2 @ 10.54% 1-2 @ 9.73% 0-3 @ 6.09% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.62% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.64% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.44% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0) 0-5 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 56.45%