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Premier League
Fulham logo
Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 20, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Craven Cottage
Aston Villa logo

Fulham
3 - 0
Aston Villa

Reed (36'), Mitrovic (68' pen.), Mings (83' og.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bailey (57'), Mings (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Fulham and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fulham

All competitions
Last Game: Fulham 2-2 Bournemouth
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Premier League

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last Game: Aston Villa 0-2 Chelsea
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Premier League

We said: Fulham 2-1 Aston Villa

 While there is an element of pressure on both teams to win considering their recent dips in form, Gerrard and co will be aware that a defeat on Thursday could see them slip into the bottom three if other results were to go against them. Fulham have impressed on home soil so far this term and with Mitrovic back fit and firing, we can see the hosts coming away with maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.

Result
FulhamDrawAston Villa
37.59% (-0.135 -0.13) 25.72% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 36.69% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 55.19% (-0.15499999999999 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.05% (-0.199 -0.2)48.95% (0.201 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.97% (-0.18 -0.18)71.03% (0.181 0.18)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.54% (-0.167 -0.17)25.45% (0.167 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.72% (-0.229 -0.23)60.28% (0.229 0.23)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.04% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)25.96% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.03% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)60.97% (0.058 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Fulham 37.59%
    Aston Villa 36.69%
    Draw 25.72%
FulhamDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 9.04% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.19% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.81% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.82% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 37.59%
1-1 @ 12.19% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.61% (0.055 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 8.91% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.22% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.01% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.7% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 36.69%

How you voted: Fulham vs Aston Villa

Fulham
63.2%
Draw
18.3%
Aston Villa
18.6%
334
Head to Head
Apr 4, 2021 4.30pm
Aston Villa
3-1
Fulham
Trezeguet (78', 81'), Watkins (87')
Luiz (15')
Mitrovic (61')
Andersen (16'), Reid (74')
Sep 28, 2020 5.45pm
Fulham
0-3
Aston Villa

Reid (11'), Cairney (23'), Bryan (45+3'), Odoi (47'), Le Marchand (68'), Kamara (90+1')
Grealish (4'), Hourihane (15'), Mings (48')
Targett (11'), McGinn (59'), Mings (90+1')
> Match Report
Jan 4, 2020 3.01pm
Fulham
2-1
Aston Villa
Knockaert (54'), Arter (74')
McDonald (47'), Knockaert (88'), Hector (97')
El Ghazi (63')
Nakamba (6'), Taylor (21'), Lansbury (96')
> Match Report
May 26, 2018 5pm
Aston Villa
0-1
Fulham
> Match Report
Feb 17, 2018 3pm
Fulham
2-0
Aston Villa
Sessegnon (52'), Ayite (71')
Johansen (67')

Jedinak (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal35255585285780
2Manchester CityMan City34247382325079
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs33186967521560
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341651374551953
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
9Chelsea33139116359448
10Bournemouth35139135260-848
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3579194262-2026
18Luton TownLuton3567224877-2925
19Burnley3559213870-3224
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316
> Premier League Full Table


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