Premier League
Gameweek
12
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-
Harrison Reed
36'
-
Aleksandar Mitrovic
68'
-
Tyrone Mings
83'
Fulham vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
Result
Fulham
37.59%
▼
(-0.14)
Draw
25.72%
▲
(+0.05)
Aston Villa
36.69%
▲
(+0.10)
Both Teams to Score:
55.19%
▼
(-0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.05%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 2.5
48.95%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 3.5
28.97%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 3.5
71.03%
▲
(+0.19)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5
74.54%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 0.5
25.45%
▲
(+0.17)
Over 1.5
39.72%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 1.5
60.28%
▲
(+0.23)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5
74.04%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
25.96%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
39.03%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
60.97%
▲
(+0.06)
Score analysis
Fulham
37.59%
Draw
25.72%
Aston Villa
36.69%
Fulham
1-0
@
9.04%
▲
(+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.34% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 37.59%
2-1 @ 8.34% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 37.59%
Draw
1-1
@
12.19%
▲
(+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.61% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.72%
0-0 @ 6.61% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.72%
Aston Villa
0-1
@
8.91%
▲
(+0.07)
1-2 @ 8.22% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.01% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.7% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 36.69%
1-2 @ 8.22% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.01% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.7% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 36.69%
Head to Head
Premier League
Gameweek
30
-
Douglas Luiz
15'
-
Trezeguet
78'
-
Trezeguet
81'
-
Ollie Watkins
87'
-
Joachim Andersen
16'
-
Aleksandar Mitrovic
61'
-
Bobby Reid
74'
Premier League
Gameweek
3
-
Bobby Reid
11'
-
Tom Cairney
23'
-
Denis Odoi
47'
-
Joe Bryan
45'+3'
-
Maxime Le Marchand
68'
-
Aboubakar Kamara
90'+1'
-
Jack Grealish
4'
-
Matt Targett
11'
-
Conor Hourihane
15'
-
Tyrone Mings
48'
-
John McGinn
59'
-
Tyrone Mings
90'+1'
FA Cup
Gameweek
3
-
Kevin McDonald
47'
-
Anthony Knockaert
54'
-
Harry Arter
74'
-
Anthony Knockaert
88'
-
Michael Hector
97'
-
Marvelous Nakamba
6'
-
Neil Taylor
21'
-
Anwar El Ghazi
63'
-
Henri Lansbury
96'
Championship Playoffs
-
James Chester
8'
-
Jack Grealish
63'
-
Mile Jedinak
76'
-
Alan Hutton
86'
-
Tom Cairney
23'
-
Denis Odoi
38'
-
Denis Odoi
70'
-
Aboubakar Kamara
77'
Championship
-
Ryan Sessegnon
52'
-
Stefan Johansen
67'
-
Floyd Ayite
71'
-
Mile Jedinak
59'
Championship
-
John Terry
23'
-
Albert Adomah
49'
-
Josh Onomah
82'
-
Oliver Norwood
9'
-
Rui Fonte
15'
-
Stefan Johansen
45'