Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Fulham win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.