Premier League | Gameweek 14
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James' Park
Newcastle4 - 0Aston Villa
Reaction
Eddie Howe, Aaron Danks react as Newcastle United thrash Aston Villa
Eddie Howe and Aaron Danks react as Newcastle United record a 4-0 victory over Aston Villa in Saturday's Premier League fixture at St James' Park.
Oct 29, 18:17
Newcastle United continue strong form with four-goal win over Aston Villa
Callum Wilson scores twice as Newcastle United record a 4-0 victory over Aston Villa in the Premier League at St James' Park.
Oct 29, 17:03
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Spurs 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, October 23 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Sunday, October 23 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 4-0 Brentford
Sunday, October 23 at 2pm in Premier League
Sunday, October 23 at 2pm in Premier League
We said: Newcastle United 2-0 Aston Villa
Villa got a huge lift from their result last week, but St. James' Park has become one of the toughest place to visit in the country, so this will be difficult for Danks and his side. Newcastle have kept three clean sheets in their six home games this season, and they looked very comfortable in defence when they faced Everton in their last fixture here, so a similar result looks likely. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Aston Villa |
47.71% ( -0.02) | 25.66% ( 0.01) | 26.63% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.27% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
