Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 14

Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK

St James' Park

Newcastle
4 - 0
Aston Villa

Wilson (45+5' pen., 56'), Joelinton (59'), Almiron (67')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Reaction

Newcastle United boss Eddie Howe during 4-0 win over Aston Villa on October 29, 2022.

Eddie Howe, Aaron Danks react as Newcastle United thrash Aston Villa

Eddie Howe and Aaron Danks react as Newcastle United record a 4-0 victory over Aston Villa in Saturday's Premier League fixture at St James' Park.

Oct 29, 17:17

Newcastle United's Callum Wilson celebrates scoring against Aston Villa on October 29, 2022

Newcastle United continue strong form with four-goal win over Aston Villa

Callum Wilson scores twice as Newcastle United record a 4-0 victory over Aston Villa in the Premier League at St James' Park.

Oct 29, 16:03

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

Last Game: Spurs 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, October 23 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aston Villa

All competitions

Last Game: Aston Villa 4-0 Brentford
Sunday, October 23 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Aston Villa
47.71% ( -0.02)	25.66% ( 0.01)	26.63% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 51.27% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.85% (

-0.03)

52.15% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.13% (

-0.03)

73.87% (

0.03)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.14% (

-0.02)

21.86% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.9% (

-0.03)

55.1% (

0.03)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.61% (

-0.01)

34.39% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.9% (

-0.01)

71.1% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 47.71%

Aston Villa 26.63%

Draw 25.66%

Newcastle United	Draw	Aston Villa
1-0 @ 11.43% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.69% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.4% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 47.71%	1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.66%	0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.51% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 26.63%