EFL Cup
Man Utd
Nov 10, 2022 8.00pm
4
2
HT : 0 0
FT Old Trafford
Aston Villa
  • Anthony Martial 49' goal
  • Marcus Rashford 67' goal
  • Bruno Fernandes 78' goal
  • Scott McTominay 90'+1' goal
  • goal Ollie Watkins 48'
  • goal Diogo Dalot 61' (OG)

Manchester United vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions

Aston Villa

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 56.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 21.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result

Manchester United 56.32% ▲ (+1.14)
Draw 22.55% ▲ (+0.08)
Aston Villa 21.13% ▼ (-1.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.92% ▼ (-1.95)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.68% ▼ (-1.78)
Under 2.5 44.32% ▲ (+1.78)
Over 3.5 33.3% ▼ (-1.75)
Under 3.5 66.7% ▲ (+1.75)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 84.45% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 0.5 15.55% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 1.5 55.51% ▼ (-0.45)
Under 1.5 44.49% ▲ (+0.45)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 65.03% ▼ (-2.12)
Under 0.5 34.96% ▲ (+2.13)
Over 1.5 28.29% ▼ (-2.30)
Under 1.5 71.71% ▲ (+2.30)

Score analysis

Manchester United 56.31%
Draw 22.55%
Aston Villa 21.13%
Manchester United
1-0 @ 10.11% ▲ (+0.68)
2-1 @ 9.9% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 9.42% ▲ (+0.57)
3-1 @ 6.14% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.84% ▲ (+0.31)
3-2 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.21)
4-1 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.13)
4-2 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.12)
5-1 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.01% ▼ (-96.49)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 56.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.63% ▲ (+0.14)
0-0 @ 5.44% ▲ (+0.41)
2-2 @ 5.2% ▼ (-0.30)
3-3 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.55%
Aston Villa
0-1 @ 5.71% ▲ (+0.12)
1-2 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.27)
0-2 @ 3% ▼ (-0.12)
1-3 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.22)
2-3 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.22)
0-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 2%
Total : 21.13%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 15
Aston Villa
Nov 6, 2022 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
Man Utd
  • Leon Bailey 7' goal
  • Lucas Digne 11' goal
  • Jacob Ramsey 49' goal
  • goal Jacob Ramsey 45' (OG)
Club Friendlies 1
Man Utd
Jul 23, 2022 10.45am
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Old Trafford
Aston Villa
  • Jadon Sancho 25' goal
  • Matty Cash 42' goal
  • Tahith Chong 78' yellowcard
  • Eric Bailly 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Philippe Coutinho 13'
  • goal Leon Bailey 49'
  • yellowcard John McGinn 51'
  • goal Calum Chambers 90'+3'
Premier League Gameweek 22
Aston Villa
Jan 15, 2022 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Man Utd
  • Lucas Digne 27' yellowcard
  • Jacob Ramsey 77' goal
  • Philippe Coutinho 81' goal
  • goal Bruno Fernandes 6'
  • yellowcard Nemanja Matic 31'
  • yellowcard Bruno Fernandes 46'
  • goal Bruno Fernandes 67'
FA Cup
Man Utd
Jan 10, 2022 7.55pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Old Trafford
Aston Villa
  • Scott McTominay 8' goal
  • Fred 65' yellowcard
  • Luke Shaw 68' yellowcard
  • Diogo Dalot 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jacob Ramsey 12'
Premier League Gameweek 6
Man Utd
Sep 25, 2021 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Aston Villa
  • Luke Shaw 29' yellowcard
  • Fred 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard John McGinn 66'
  • goal Kortney Hause 88'
  • yellowcard Matty Cash 90'
Premier League Gameweek 35
Aston Villa
May 9, 2021 2.05pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT
Man Utd
  • Bertrand Traore 24' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 45'+1' yellowcard
  • John McGinn 79' yellowcard
  • Ollie Watkins 89' redcard
  • goal Bruno Fernandes 52'
  • goal Mason Greenwood 56'
  • yellowcard Harry Maguire 67'
  • goal Edinson Cavani 87'

Form Data

Aston Villa 3 - 1 Man Utd
Real Sociedad 0 - 1 Man Utd
Man Utd 1 - 0 West Ham
Man Utd 3 - 0 Sheriff Tiraspol
Chelsea 1 - 1 Man Utd
Man Utd 2 - 0 Spurs
Aston Villa 3 - 1 Man Utd
Newcastle 4 - 0 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 4 - 0 Brentford
Fulham 3 - 0 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 0 - 2 Chelsea
Nott'm Forest 1 - 1 Aston Villa

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