Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 53.52%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 23.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 0-1 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.