Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 69.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 8.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.66%) and 3-0 (10.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12%), while for a Sheriff Tiraspol win it was 0-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.