Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 16

Nov 13, 2022 at 2pm UK

Falmer Stadium

Brighton
1 - 2
Aston Villa

Mac Allister (1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ings (20' pen., 54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Arsenal 1-3 Brighton
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aston Villa

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Man Utd 4-2 Aston Villa
Thursday, November 10 at 8pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 55.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 20.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Aston Villa
55.96% ( 6.36)	23.3% ( -1.52)	20.74% ( -4.85)

Both teams to score 51.92% (

-1.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.97% (

1.45)

48.03% (

-1.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.8% (

1.32)

70.19% (

-1.32)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.01% (

2.98)

16.98% (

-2.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.9% (

5.05)

47.09% (

-5.05)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.54% (

-3.64)

37.45% (

3.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.76% (

-3.76)

74.24% (

3.76)

Score Analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 55.95%

Aston Villa 20.74%

Draw 23.29%

Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Aston Villa
1-0 @ 11.27% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 10% ( 1.24) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.32) 3-0 @ 5.91% ( 1.2) 3-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.7) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.72) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.52) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.15) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.32) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.25) Other @ 2.01% Total : 55.95%	1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.72) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.39) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.33) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.29%	0-1 @ 6.25% ( -1.08) 1-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.96) 0-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.9) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.53) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.28) 0-3 @ 1% ( -0.43) Other @ 1.63% Total : 20.74%