Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 50.64%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 23.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.86%) and 1-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 1-0 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Chelsea |
23.42% ( -0.01) | 25.94% ( -0) | 50.64% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 47.5% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.4% ( 0) | 55.6% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.23% ( 0) | 76.76% ( -0) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.9% ( -0.01) | 39.1% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.18% ( -0.01) | 75.82% ( 0.01) |
Chelsea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.99% ( 0.01) | 22.01% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.67% ( 0.01) | 55.33% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Chelsea |
1-0 @ 8.08% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.74% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.8% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.8% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.36% 3-0 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 1.46% Total : 23.42% | 1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 8.61% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 13.02% 0-2 @ 9.86% ( 0) 1-2 @ 9.26% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.97% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.67% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.19% 0-4 @ 1.88% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.77% Other @ 3.01% Total : 50.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Liverpool | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 75 | 34 | 41 | 74 |
3 | Manchester CityMan City | 32 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 76 | 32 | 44 | 73 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 53 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 44 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 43 |
13 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 39 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 92 | -59 | 16 |
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