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Premier League | Gameweek 11
Oct 14, 2022 at 8pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Brighton logo

Brentford
2 - 0
Brighton

Toney (27', 64' pen.)
Frank (44'), Jensen (45+1'), Baptiste (90+2'), Toney (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

De Zerbi (44'), Caicedo (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 5-1 Brentford
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Premier League

We said: Brentford 1-2 Brighton & Hove Albion

Brentford have fared better on home soil so far this term, but they come up against a Brighton outfit who have lost only two of their last 13 Premier League games. We can see De Zerbi's attackers taking advantage of Brentford's leaky backline, with the Italian securing his first win as head coach of the Seagulls. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
BrentfordDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
32.21% (-0.32599999999999 -0.33) 25.64% (-0.11 -0.11) 42.15% (0.436 0.44)
Both teams to score 54.58% (0.25 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.65% (0.375 0.38)49.35% (-0.373 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.6% (0.335 0.34)71.4% (-0.33399999999999 -0.33)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.12% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)28.87% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.25% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)64.74% (0.035000000000011 0.04)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.73% (0.381 0.38)23.26% (-0.38 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.81% (0.552 0.55)57.18% (-0.552 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 32.21%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 42.15%
    Draw 25.63%
BrentfordDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 8.34% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-1 @ 7.56% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.18% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.13% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 32.21%
1-1 @ 12.16% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.72% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.51% (0.031 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 9.8% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.87% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.14% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.31% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
0-3 @ 3.47% (0.063 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.045 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.57% (0.044 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.27% (0.037 0.04)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 42.15%

How you voted: Brentford vs Brighton

Brentford
23.7%
Draw
18.9%
Brighton & Hove Albion
57.4%
392
Head to Head
Jul 26, 2022 3pm
Dec 26, 2021 8pm
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Brentford
0-1
Brighton

Canos (6'), Mbeumo (17'), Ajer (74')
Trossard (90')
Veltman (55'), Duffy (57')
Feb 5, 2017 3pm
Brentford
3-3
Brighton
Jota (15'), Dean (22'), Kerschbaumer (94')
McEachran (64'), Kerschbaumer (91')
March (75'), Duffy (78'), Hemed (97')
Sidwell (64'), Saltor (95')
Sep 10, 2016 3pm
Brighton
0-2
Brentford

Knockaert (32'), Hemed (45'), Bong (60'), Manu (63'), Stephens (75')
Hogan (29', 70')
Woods (26'), Egan (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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