/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmcilog.png)
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Erling Braut Haaland
10'
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Riyad Mahrez
47'
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Nathan Ake
58'
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Fabio Carvalho
20'
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Mohamed Salah
48'
Manchester City vs Liverpool - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F41%2Froberto-firmino_1.jpeg)
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F51%2Fjurgen-klopp.jpg)
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F51%2Ferlhal.jpg)
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F50%2Ferling-braut-haaland-kevin-de-bruyne-riyad-mahrez.JPG)
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F45%2Flivder.jpg)
Injuries & Suspensions
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F37%2Fluis-diaz.jpeg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 46.78%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.79%) and 3-2 (4.98%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result
Manchester City
46.78%
▲
(+1.76)
Draw
20.95%
▲
(+0.17)
Liverpool
32.27%
▼
(-1.92)
Both Teams to Score:
71.89%
▼
(-1.52)
Goals
Over 2.5
73.2%
▼
(-1.63)
Under 2.5
26.79%
▲
(+1.62)
Over 3.5
52.77%
▼
(-2.09)
Under 3.5
47.22%
▲
(+2.09)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5
87.6%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 0.5
12.4%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 1.5
61.71%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 1.5
38.28%
▲
(+0.17)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5
82.06%
▼
(-1.66)
Under 0.5
17.93%
▲
(+1.66)
Over 1.5
51.24%
▼
(-2.93)
Under 1.5
48.75%
▲
(+2.93)
Score analysis
Manchester City
46.78%
Draw
20.95%
Liverpool
32.27%
Manchester City
2-1
@
8.33%
▲
(+0.35)
3-1 @ 5.79% ▲ (+0.23)
3-2 @ 4.98% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 4.85% ▲ (+0.45)
1-0 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.45)
3-0 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.31)
4-1 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.11)
4-2 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.16)
4-3 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.12)
5-1 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.05)
5-2 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 46.78%
3-1 @ 5.79% ▲ (+0.23)
3-2 @ 4.98% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 4.85% ▲ (+0.45)
1-0 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.45)
3-0 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.31)
4-1 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.11)
4-2 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.16)
4-3 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.12)
5-1 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.05)
5-2 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 46.78%
Draw
1-1
@
7.98%
▲
(+0.36)
2-2 @ 7.15% ▼ (-0.09)
3-3 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.21)
0-0 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.22)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 20.95%
2-2 @ 7.15% ▼ (-0.09)
3-3 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.21)
0-0 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.22)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 20.95%
Liverpool
1-2
@
6.85%
▼
(-0.07)
2-3 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.29)
1-3 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.27)
0-1 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.19)
0-2 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.12)
2-4 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.23)
1-4 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.22)
3-4 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 32.27%
2-3 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.29)
1-3 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.27)
0-1 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.19)
0-2 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.12)
2-4 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.23)
1-4 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.22)
3-4 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 32.27%
Head to Head
Build-up
News
Predicted Lineups