Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 61.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 17.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.75%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-0 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Manchester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.