Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 15

Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City
2 - 1
Fulham

Alvarez (17'), Braut Haaland (90+5' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Pereira (28' pen.)

Reaction

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Nov 5, 17:56

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Man City 3-1 Sevilla
Wednesday, November 2 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fulham

All competitions

Last Game: Fulham 0-0 Everton
Saturday, October 29 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 84.16%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 5.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 4-0 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.38%), while for a Fulham win it was 1-2 (1.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Fulham
84.16% ( 0.02)	10.06% ( -0.01)	5.78% ( -0)

Both teams to score 54.17% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

78.07% (

0.02)

21.93% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

59.2% (

0.03)

40.8% (

-0.02)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.33% (

0.01)

3.67% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

84.21% (

0.02)

15.79% (

-0.01)

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.23% (

43.77% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.07% (

79.93% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Manchester City 84.16%

Fulham 5.78%

Draw 10.06%

Manchester City	Draw	Fulham
3-0 @ 9.66% 2-0 @ 8.77% ( -0) 4-0 @ 7.99% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.99% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( -0) 4-1 @ 6.6% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.3% ( -0) 5-0 @ 5.28% ( 0) 5-1 @ 4.36% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0) 6-0 @ 2.91% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.73% ( 0) 6-1 @ 2.4% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.8% ( 0) 7-0 @ 1.37% ( 0) 7-1 @ 1.14% ( 0) 6-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 4.32% Total : 84.16%	1-1 @ 4.38% ( -0) 2-2 @ 2.99% ( -0) 0-0 @ 1.6% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.17% Total : 10.06%	1-2 @ 1.81% ( -0) 0-1 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 5.78%