/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmcilog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fgirlog.png)
-
Kevin De Bruyne
5'
-
Erling Braut Haaland
18'
Manchester City vs Girona - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F50%2Ferling-braut-haaland-kevin-de-bruyne-riyad-mahrez.JPG)
The match
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F45%2Fmanchester-city.JPG)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F45%2Ferling-braut-haaland.JPG)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 73.92%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Girona had a probability of 10.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 3-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.79%), while for a Girona win it was 1-2 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Manchester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Manchester City Goals
Girona Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 9.07% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 8.53% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 8.07% ▼ (-0.04)
1-0 @ 7.18% ▲ (+0.26)
4-0 @ 5.69% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.08)
5-0 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.06)
5-1 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.10)
4-2 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.09)
5-2 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.07)
6-0 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.05)
6-1 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 73.92%
2-2 @ 4.29% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 2.69% ▲ (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 15.19%
0-1 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 10.89%