La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 13

Nov 4, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Girona
2 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Lopez (67'), Martin (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Guruzeta (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Girona and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Girona

All competitions

Last Game: Real Madrid 1-1 Girona
Sunday, October 30 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Villarreal
Sunday, October 30 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Girona had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-0 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Girona	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
35.07% ( 0.16)	27.64% ( 0.06)	37.3% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 48.87% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.1% (

-0.23)

56.9% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.18% (

-0.18)

77.82% (

0.19)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.22% (

-0.01)

30.78% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.95% (

-0.01)

67.05% (

0.02)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.6% (

-0.24)

29.4% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.61% (

-0.3)

65.39% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Girona 35.07%

Athletic Bilbao 37.29%

Draw 27.63%

Girona	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 35.07%	1-1 @ 13.05% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.63%	0-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.5% Total : 37.29%