Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Girona had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-0 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
35.07% ( 0.16) | 27.64% ( 0.06) | 37.3% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 48.87% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.1% ( -0.23) | 56.9% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.18% ( -0.18) | 77.82% ( 0.19) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.22% ( -0.01) | 30.78% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.95% ( -0.01) | 67.05% ( 0.02) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.6% ( -0.24) | 29.4% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.61% ( -0.3) | 65.39% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 35.07% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.63% | 0-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.5% Total : 37.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 50 | 19 | 31 | 38 |
2 | Real Madrid | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 36 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 35 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 32 |
5 | Villarreal | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 26 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 24 |
7 | Osasuna | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 24 |
8 | Mallorca | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 24 |
9 | GironaGirona | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 21 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 21 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 19 |
13 | Sevilla | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 19 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Getafe | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 15 |
17 | Leganes | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
18 | Espanyol | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 13 |
19 | Valencia | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 34 | -23 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |