Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 50.06%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 23.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.