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La Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Osauna logo

Girona
1 - 1
Osasuna

Lopez (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Barja (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Girona and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almeria 3-2 Girona
Thursday, October 20 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 1-0 Espanyol
Thursday, October 20 at 7pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 50.06%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 23.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
GironaDrawOsasuna
50.06% (-0.814 -0.81)26.16% (0.058999999999997 0.06)23.78% (0.756 0.76)
Both teams to score 47.26% (0.621 0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.89% (0.404 0.4)56.11% (-0.404 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.82% (0.328 0.33)77.18% (-0.327 -0.33)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.52% (-0.188 -0.19)22.48% (0.188 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.97% (-0.282 -0.28)56.03% (0.281 0.28)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.96% (0.946 0.95)39.04% (-0.94600000000001 -0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.24% (0.879 0.88)75.76% (-0.879 -0.88)
Score Analysis
    Girona 50.05%
    Osasuna 23.78%
    Draw 26.16%
GironaDrawOsasuna
1-0 @ 13.09% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-0 @ 9.78% (-0.263 -0.26)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.87% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-1 @ 4.58% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.82% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 50.05%
1-1 @ 12.32% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.78% (-0.137 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.32% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 8.25% (0.084 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.79% (0.173 0.17)
0-2 @ 3.88% (0.137 0.14)
1-3 @ 1.82% (0.099 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.066 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.22% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 23.78%

How you voted: Girona vs Osasuna

Girona
32.9%
Draw
27.1%
Osasuna
40.0%
85
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0


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