Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 51.72%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 22.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Osasuna in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Osasuna.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Espanyol |
51.72% ( 0.39) | 26.03% ( 0.08) | 22.24% ( -0.47) |
Both teams to score 45.93% ( -0.74) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.03% ( -0.69) | 56.97% ( 0.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.12% ( -0.56) | 77.87% ( 0.55) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.88% ( -0.12) | 22.11% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.52% ( -0.18) | 55.48% ( 0.18) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.97% ( -0.86) | 41.02% ( 0.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.42% ( -0.77) | 77.58% ( 0.77) |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Espanyol |
1-0 @ 13.68% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.91% Total : 51.7% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.67% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.22% Total : 22.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 50 | 19 | 31 | 38 |
2 | Real Madrid | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 36 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 35 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 32 |
5 | Villarreal | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 26 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 24 |
7 | Osasuna | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 24 |
8 | Mallorca | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 24 |
9 | GironaGirona | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 21 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 21 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 19 |
13 | Sevilla | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 19 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Getafe | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 15 |
17 | Leganes | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
18 | Espanyol | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 13 |
19 | Valencia | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 34 | -23 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |