Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 51.72%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 22.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Osasuna in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Osasuna.