Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 34.88% ( | 27.06% ( | 38.05% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.62% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.3% ( | 54.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.98% ( | 76.02% ( |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.2% ( | 29.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.12% ( | 65.88% ( |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.11% ( | 27.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.5% ( | 63.5% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Espanyol | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 1-0 @ 10.06% ( 2-1 @ 7.78% ( 2-0 @ 6.09% ( 3-1 @ 3.14% ( 3-0 @ 2.46% ( 3-2 @ 2% ( 4-1 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.4% Total : 34.88% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0-0 @ 8.31% ( 2-2 @ 4.97% ( Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.06% | 0-1 @ 10.61% ( 1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0-2 @ 6.78% ( 1-3 @ 3.49% ( 0-3 @ 2.89% ( 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.93% Total : 38.05% |