Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Elche had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result | ||
Elche | Draw | Girona |
31.18% ( -0.27) | 27.31% ( -0.23) | 41.51% ( 0.5) |
Both teams to score 48.98% ( 0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.64% ( 0.8) | 56.36% ( -0.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.61% ( 0.64) | 77.38% ( -0.64) |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.86% ( 0.23) | 33.13% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.26% ( 0.25) | 69.73% ( -0.25) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.25% ( 0.64) | 26.75% ( -0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.98% ( 0.84) | 62.02% ( -0.84) |
Score Analysis |
Elche | Draw | Girona |
1-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 7.13% 2-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.18% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.31% | 0-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.05% Total : 41.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | Barcelona | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 39 | 29 | 73 |
3 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |