La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 14

Nov 8, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Elche
1 - 2
Girona

Lirola (16')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Martin (39'), Castellanos (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Elche and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elche

All competitions

Last Game: Valladolid 2-1 Elche
Saturday, November 5 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Girona

All competitions

Last Game: Girona 2-1 Athletic Bilbao
Friday, November 4 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Elche had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
Elche	Draw	Girona
31.18% ( -0.27)	27.31% ( -0.23)	41.51% ( 0.5)

Both teams to score 48.98% (

0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.64% (

0.8)

56.36% (

-0.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.61% (

0.64)

77.38% (

-0.64)

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.86% (

0.23)

33.13% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.26% (

0.25)

69.73% (

-0.25)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.25% (

0.64)

26.75% (

-0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.98% (

0.84)

62.02% (

-0.84)

Score Analysis

Elche 31.18%

Girona 41.5%

Draw 27.31%

Elche	Draw	Girona
1-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 7.13% 2-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.18%	1-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.31%	0-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.05% Total : 41.5%