Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 61.36%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 15.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.38%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Espanyol | Draw | Elche |
61.36% ( 0.37) | 22.85% ( -0.12) | 15.79% ( -0.24) |
Both teams to score 44.52% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.7% ( 0.07) | 53.3% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.15% ( 0.06) | 74.85% ( -0.06) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.04% ( 0.16) | 16.96% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.94% ( 0.27) | 47.06% ( -0.27) |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.61% ( -0.29) | 46.39% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.98% ( -0.22) | 82.02% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Espanyol | Draw | Elche |
1-0 @ 13.95% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 12.38% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 61.35% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.6% Total : 22.85% | 0-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.31% Total : 15.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | Barcelona | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 39 | 29 | 73 |
3 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |