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La Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2022 at 1pm UK
RCDE Stadium
Elche

Espanyol
2 - 2
Elche

Puado (24'), Braithwaite (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Milla (11'), Gonzalo (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Espanyol and Elche, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 1-0 Espanyol
Thursday, October 20 at 7pm in La Liga
Last Game: Elche 0-3 Real Madrid
Wednesday, October 19 at 8pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 61.36%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 15.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.38%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
EspanyolDrawElche
61.36% (0.36799999999999 0.37)22.85% (-0.123 -0.12)15.79% (-0.243 -0.24)
Both teams to score 44.52% (-0.156 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.7% (0.072000000000003 0.07)53.3% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.15% (0.061 0.06)74.85% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)
Espanyol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.04% (0.155 0.16)16.96% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.94% (0.272 0.27)47.06% (-0.269 -0.27)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.61% (-0.287 -0.29)46.39% (0.29 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.98% (-0.222 -0.22)82.02% (0.224 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Espanyol 61.35%
    Elche 15.79%
    Draw 22.85%
EspanyolDrawElche
1-0 @ 13.95% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 12.38% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.32% (0.091 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.63% (0.025 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.25% (0.056 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.5% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.15% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 61.35%
1-1 @ 10.72% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.87% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.65% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 22.85%
0-1 @ 6.04% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
1-2 @ 4.12% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.32% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.06% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 0.94% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 15.79%

How you voted: Espanyol vs Elche

Espanyol
73.5%
Draw
17.6%
Elche
8.8%
68
Head to Head
Jan 10, 2022 8pm
Espanyol
1-2
Elche
De Tomas (45+3' pen.)
Bare (22'), Pedrosa (30'), de Tomas (88'), Merida (90+1')
Milla (6', 14')
Palacios (36'), Gonzalo (45+1'), Mojica (49'), Gumbau (77'), Milla (83'), Roco (90')
Oct 23, 2021 5.30pm
Elche
2-2
Espanyol
Boye (23'), Benedetto (84')
Gonzalo (34'), Palacios (86'), Bigas (90+4')
Morlanes (51'), De Tomas (52')
Lopez (74')
Apr 6, 2015 7pm
Espanyol
1-1
Elche
Garcia (17')
Sevilla (26'), Moreno (46'), Fuentes (65')
Herrera (77')
Gonzalez (33'), Mosquera (73'), Angel (75')
Nov 2, 2014 8pm
Elche
2-1
Espanyol
Jonathas (19', 53')
Pasalic (15'), Rodrigues (61'), Jonathas (84')
Rodrigues (75'), Cisma (85')
Stuani (85' pen.)
Soberon Alvaro (46')
Mar 9, 2014 11am
Espanyol
3-1
Elche
Lopez (2'), Colotto (21'), Pizzi (59')
Fuentes (87')
Fuentes (89' og.)
Herrera (39'), del Moral (42'), Lomban (56')