Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 39.08%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.73%) and 2-1 (7.66%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 0-1 (11.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.