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La Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 15, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Elche

Valencia
2 - 2
Elche

Cavani (41' pen., 45+7')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Milla (29' pen., 65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Elche, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 1-2 Valencia
Friday, October 7 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Elche 1-1 Mallorca
Monday, October 10 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 70.32%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Elche had a probability of 10.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.8%) and 3-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawElche
70.32% (0.016999999999996 0.02)19.09% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)10.59% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 41.52% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.62% (0.064999999999998 0.06)49.38% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.58% (0.059000000000001 0.06)71.42% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.16% (0.027000000000001 0.03)12.84% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.8% (0.048999999999999 0.05)39.2% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.63% (0.040999999999997 0.04)52.36% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.76% (0.029 0.03)86.24% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 70.32%
    Elche 10.59%
    Draw 19.09%
ValenciaDrawElche
2-0 @ 14.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 13.8% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 9.69% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.27% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.22% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.32% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 70.32%
1-1 @ 8.93% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 6.72% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 2.96% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 19.09%
0-1 @ 4.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 2.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 10.59%

How you voted: Valencia vs Elche

Valencia
84.1%
Draw
8.5%
Elche
7.3%
82
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 3.15pm
Elche
0-1
Valencia

Barragan (8'), Gonzalo (45+1'), Fidel (90+3')
Mojica (90+2')
Guedes (50')
Foulquier (27'), Diakhaby (39'), Gil (65')
Dec 11, 2021 5.30pm
Valencia
2-1
Elche
Guedes (23'), Piccini (86')
Gomez (34'), Wass (48'), Foulquier (90+2')
Boye (75')
Morente (41'), Roco (90+2')
Jan 30, 2021 5.30pm
Valencia
1-0
Elche
Wass (22')
Wass (70')

Gonzalo (3'), Barragan (33'), Morente (42'), Marcone (48'), Gonzalez (65'), Cifu (74'), Rodriguez (90+1')
Oct 23, 2020 8pm
Elche
2-1
Valencia
Josan (19'), Fidel (37')
Guti (77'), Fidel (86'), Barragan (90+3')
Lato (74')
Paulista (45'), Lato (90+5')
Mar 20, 2015 7.45pm
Elche
0-4
Valencia

Suarez (4')
Gomes (44'), Alcacer (57'), Roco (71' og.), Otamendi (92')
rhs 2.0


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