Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 65.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Elche had a probability of 13.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.61%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Valladolid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Valladolid.
Result | ||
Real Valladolid | Draw | Elche |
65.56% ( 0.06) | 20.72% ( -0.05) | 13.71% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 45.86% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.22% ( 0.16) | 48.77% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.12% ( 0.15) | 70.88% ( -0.15) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.92% ( 0.07) | 14.07% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.33% ( 0.14) | 41.67% ( -0.14) |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.38% ( 0.08) | 46.62% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.8% ( 0.06) | 82.2% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Real Valladolid | Draw | Elche |
1-0 @ 12.86% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 12.61% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 65.55% | 1-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.67% Total : 20.72% | 0-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.75% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.16% Total : 13.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 50 | 19 | 31 | 38 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 20 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 33 |
5 | Mallorca | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 27 |
6 | Villarreal | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 26 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Osasuna | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
10 | GironaGirona | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 20 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Getafe | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
17 | Leganes | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
18 | Espanyol | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 14 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
> La Liga Full Table |