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La Liga | Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2022 at 1pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Real Valladolid logo

Osasuna
2 - 0
Valladolid

Avila (13' pen.), Gomez (19')
Torro (47')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Rosa (29'), Mesa (33'), Olaza (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Girona 1-1 Osasuna
Sunday, October 23 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 1-0 Real Sociedad
Saturday, October 22 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Osasuna 1-1 Real Valladolid

Real Valladolid have only lost one of their last five league matches, while four of the last five La Liga fixtures between these two sides have finished level. Osasuna will be the favourites at home, but we are expecting the points to be shared on Sunday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.

Result
OsasunaDrawReal Valladolid
44.94% (0.082999999999998 0.08) 26.91% (-0.029 -0.03) 28.15% (-0.052 -0.05)
Both teams to score 48.64% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.93% (0.081000000000003 0.08)56.07% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.85% (0.066000000000003 0.07)77.15% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.15% (0.078000000000003 0.08)24.85% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.55% (0.106 0.11)59.45% (-0.104 -0.1)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.73%35.27% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.97% (0.0020000000000024 0)72.03% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Osasuna 44.94%
    Real Valladolid 28.15%
    Draw 26.9%
OsasunaDrawReal Valladolid
1-0 @ 12.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.85% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.5% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.11% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.94% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 44.94%
1-1 @ 12.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.76% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.9%
0-1 @ 9.13% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.63% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.76% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 28.15%

How you voted: Osasuna vs Valladolid

Osasuna
53.7%
Draw
25.4%
Real Valladolid
20.9%
67
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2021 5.30pm
Dec 11, 2020 8pm
Valladolid
3-2
Osasuna
Weissman (7', 76'), Orellana (56' pen.)
Mesa (24'), Alcaraz (45'), Weissman (84'), Perez (90+5')
Budimir (27'), Torres (43')
Hernandez (12'), Moncayola (66'), Vidal (71'), Budimir (80'), Calleri (82')
Jan 18, 2020 5.30pm
Sep 15, 2019 5.30pm
Jun 2, 2018 7.30pm
Valladolid
2-0
Osasuna
Hervias (31'), Mata (63' pen.)
Michel (36'), Borja (63'), Mata (90')

Merida (30'), Xisco (42'), Lillo (59'), Herrera (62'), Sanjurjo (63'), Flano (88')
Lillo (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid33266171224984
2Barcelona33227468392973
3GironaGirona33225669402971
4Atletico MadridAtletico33204962392364
5Athletic Bilbao331610753332058
6Real Sociedad331312846351151
7Real BetisBetis33121384139249
8Valencia33138123738-147
9Villarreal33129125455-145
10Getafe331013104145-443
11Osasuna33116163749-1239
12Sevilla33911134246-438
13AlavesAlaves33108153138-738
14Las PalmasLas Palmas33107163041-1137
15Rayo Vallecano33713132742-1534
16Mallorca33614132739-1232
17Celta Vigo33710163750-1331
18CadizCadiz33414152346-2326
19Granada3349203661-2521
RAlmeria33111213267-3514


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