La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 12

Oct 30, 2022 at 1pm UK

Estadio El Sadar

Osasuna
2 - 0
Valladolid

Avila (13' pen.), Gomez (19')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

All competitions

Last Game: Girona 1-1 Osasuna
Sunday, October 23 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Valladolid

All competitions

Last Game: Valladolid 1-0 Real Sociedad
Saturday, October 22 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.

Result
Osasuna	Draw	Real Valladolid
44.94% ( 0.08)	26.91% ( -0.03)	28.15% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 48.64% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.93% (

0.08)

56.07% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.85% (

0.07)

77.15% (

-0.06)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.15% (

0.08)

24.85% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.55% (

0.11)

59.45% (

-0.1)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.73%

35.27% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.97% (

72.03% (

Score Analysis

Osasuna 44.94%

Real Valladolid 28.15%

Draw 26.9%

Osasuna	Draw	Real Valladolid
1-0 @ 12.2% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 44.94%	1-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.9%	0-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 28.15%