Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 31.4% ( | 26.63% ( | 41.98% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.13% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.34% ( | 53.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.85% ( | 75.16% ( |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.41% ( | 31.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32% ( | 68% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.74% ( | 25.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.98% ( | 60.02% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 9.2% ( 2-1 @ 7.29% ( 2-0 @ 5.3% ( 3-1 @ 2.8% ( 3-0 @ 2.04% 3-2 @ 1.93% ( Other @ 2.85% Total : 31.4% | 1-1 @ 12.65% ( 0-0 @ 7.98% ( 2-2 @ 5.01% ( Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 10.98% ( 1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0-2 @ 7.56% ( 1-3 @ 3.99% ( 0-3 @ 3.47% ( 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0-4 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 2.42% Total : 41.98% |