Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.