Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Valladolid | Draw | Real Sociedad |
31.4% ( 0) | 26.63% ( 0.03) | 41.98% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 51.13% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.34% ( -0.09) | 53.67% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.85% ( -0.08) | 75.16% ( 0.08) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.41% ( -0.04) | 31.6% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32% ( -0.05) | 68% ( 0.06) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.74% ( -0.05) | 25.26% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.98% ( -0.07) | 60.02% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Real Valladolid | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.29% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.8% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.04% 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 31.4% | 1-1 @ 12.65% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.56% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.47% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 41.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
3 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
10 | Villarreal | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
20 | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |