Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.