Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 32.27% ( | 27.59% ( | 40.14% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.49% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.86% ( | 57.14% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.99% ( | 78.01% ( |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.22% ( | 32.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.67% ( | 69.33% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.14% ( | 27.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.53% ( | 63.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 10.18% ( 2-1 @ 7.26% ( 2-0 @ 5.68% ( 3-1 @ 2.7% ( 3-0 @ 2.11% ( 3-2 @ 1.73% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 32.26% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0-0 @ 9.13% ( 2-2 @ 4.64% ( Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 11.66% ( 1-2 @ 8.32% ( 0-2 @ 7.46% ( 1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0-3 @ 3.18% ( 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 1.86% Total : 40.13% |