Club Friendlies 1
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John McGinn
7'
Aston Villa vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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The match
Result
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result
Aston Villa
34.48%
▲
(+0.05)
Draw
24.9%
▲
(+0.02)
Chelsea
40.62%
▼
(-0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
57.78%
▼
(-0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.5%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 2.5
45.5%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 3.5
32.17%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 3.5
67.83%
▲
(+0.06)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5
74.39%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
25.61%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
39.51%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
60.49%
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5
77.66%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
22.34%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
44.18%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 1.5
55.82%
▲
(+0.09)
Score analysis
Aston Villa
34.48%
Draw
24.9%
Chelsea
40.62%
Aston Villa
2-1
@
7.96%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.79% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 34.48%
1-0 @ 7.79% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.31% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 34.48%
Draw
1-1
@
11.68%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.96% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.72% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.9%
2-2 @ 5.96% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.72% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.9%
Chelsea
1-2
@
8.75%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.57% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.43% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 40.62%
0-1 @ 8.57% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.43% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 40.62%
Head to Head
Premier League
Gameweek
11
-
Mason Mount
6'
-
Mason Mount
65'
Premier League
Gameweek
19
-
Reece James
28'
-
Emiliano Martinez
33'
-
Tyrone Mings
65'
-
Ezri Konsa
90'+2'
-
Jorginho
34'
-
Romelu Lukaku
56'
-
Marcos Alonso
70'
-
Jorginho
90'+3'
EFL Cup
-
Malang Sarr
31'
-
Timo Werner
54'
-
Reece James
90'+2'
-
Cameron Archer
64'
-
Ashley Young
86'
Premier League
Gameweek
4
-
Romelu Lukaku
15'
-
Mateo Kovacic
49'
-
Marcos Alonso
61'
-
Romelu Lukaku
90'+3'
-
Jacob Ramsey
8'
-
Tyrone Mings
28'
-
John McGinn
90'
-
Matt Targett
90'
Premier League
Gameweek
38
-
Bertrand Traore
43'
-
Anwar El Ghazi
52'
-
John McGinn
65'
-
Marvelous Nakamba
74'
-
Emiliano Martinez
81'
-
Jorginho
45'
-
Timo Werner
45'+2'
-
Mateo Kovacic
49'
-
Ben Chilwell
70'
-
Cesar Azpilicueta
89'
-
Kepa Arrizabalaga
90'+5'
Premier League
Gameweek
16
-
Olivier Giroud
34'
-
Cesar Azpilicueta
45'+2'
-
Olivier Giroud
71'
-
N'Golo Kante
74'
-
Anwar El Ghazi
50'
-
Anwar El Ghazi
71'