Premier League Gameweek 15
Chelsea
Nov 6, 2022 12.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Arsenal
  • goal Gabriel Magalhaes 63'

Chelsea vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
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Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
Brighton 4 - 1 Chelsea
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Kai Havertz

Arsenal

All competitions
Last game
Oct 30, 2022 2.00pm
Arsenal 5 - 0 Nott'm Forest
Goals scored
88
Top scorer
Gabriel Martinelli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result

Chelsea 41.62% ▲ (+0.15)
Draw 25.9% ▼ (-0.04)
Arsenal 32.48% ▼ (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.82% ▲ (+0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.62% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 2.5 50.38% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 3.5 27.68% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 3.5 72.32% ▼ (-0.12)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 76.02% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 0.5 23.98% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 1.5 41.78% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 1.5 58.22% ▼ (-0.18)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 70.79% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 29.21%
Over 1.5 34.84%
Under 1.5 65.16% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Chelsea 41.62%
Draw 25.89%
Arsenal 32.48%
Chelsea
1-0 @ 10% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.79% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.14% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.18% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 41.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.3% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.89%
Arsenal
0-1 @ 8.62% ▼ (-0.05)
1-2 @ 7.58% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 32.48%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Arsenal
Jul 24, 2022 1.00am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Chelsea
  • Gabriel Jesus 15' goal
  • Martin Odegaard 36' goal
  • Eddie Nketiah 61' yellowcard
  • Bukayo Saka 66' goal
  • Martin Odegaard 78' yellowcard
  • Albert Sambi Lokonga 90' goal
  • Albert Sambi Lokonga 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mason Mount 50'
  • yellowcard Ethan Ampadu 77'
  • yellowcard Marcos Alonso 77'
  • yellowcard Kalidou Koulibaly 90'
Premier League Gameweek 25
Chelsea
Apr 20, 2022 7.45pm
2
4
HT : 2 2
FT
Arsenal
  • Timo Werner 17' goal
  • Cesar Azpilicueta 32' goal
  • Malang Sarr 65' yellowcard
  • Mason Mount 84' yellowcard
  • Cesar Azpilicueta 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Eddie Nketiah 13'
  • goal Emile Smith Rowe 27'
  • goal Eddie Nketiah 57'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Magalhaes 90'+1'
  • goal Bukayo Saka 90'+2'
Premier League Gameweek 2
Arsenal
Aug 22, 2021 4.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Chelsea
  • Pablo Mari 34' yellowcard
  • Rob Holding 45' yellowcard
  • Albert Sambi Lokonga 67' yellowcard
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 15'
  • goal Reece James 35'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Arsenal
Aug 1, 2021 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Chelsea
  • Granit Xhaka 69' goal
  • Nuno Tavares 86' yellowcard
  • goal Kai Havertz 26'
  • yellowcard Mateo Kovacic 42'
  • yellowcard Davide Zappacosta 54'
  • goal Tammy Abraham 72'
Premier League Gameweek 36
Chelsea
May 12, 2021 8.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Arsenal
  • goal Emile Smith Rowe 16'
  • yellowcard Thomas Partey 90'+4'
Premier League Gameweek 15
Arsenal
Dec 26, 2020 5.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Chelsea
  • Pablo Mari 16' yellowcard
  • Alexandre Lacazette 34' goal
  • Granit Xhaka 44' goal
  • Bukayo Saka 56' goal
  • Kieran Tierney 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thiago Silva 73'
  • goal Tammy Abraham 85'

Form Data

Chelsea 2 - 1 Dinamo Zagreb
Brighton 4 - 1 Chelsea
Salzburg 1 - 2 Chelsea
Chelsea 1 - 1 Man Utd
Brentford 0 - 0 Chelsea
Aston Villa 0 - 2 Chelsea
Arsenal 1 - 0 FC Zurich
Arsenal 5 - 0 Nott'm Forest
PSV 2 - 0 Arsenal
Southampton 1 - 1 Arsenal
Arsenal 1 - 0 PSV
Leeds 0 - 1 Arsenal

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