Premier League
Gameweek
14
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Gabriel Martinelli
5'
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Reiss Nelson
49'
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Reiss Nelson
52'
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Thomas Partey
57'
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Martin Odegaard
78'
Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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News
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News
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The match
Team News
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Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
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Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 78.76%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 6.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.85%) and 3-0 (12.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.84%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
Result
Arsenal
78.76%
▲
(+0.61)
Draw
15.03%
▼
(-0.24)
Nottingham Forest
6.21%
▼
(-0.37)
Both Teams to Score:
35.18%
▼
(-1.23)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.57%
▼
(-0.44)
Under 2.5
46.43%
▲
(+0.44)
Over 3.5
31.29%
▼
(-0.42)
Under 3.5
68.71%
▲
(+0.42)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5
90.25%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 0.5
9.75%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 1.5
67.55%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
32.45%
▼
(-0.10)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5
38.98%
▼
(-1.38)
Under 0.5
61.02%
▲
(+1.38)
Over 1.5
8.84%
▼
(-0.70)
Under 1.5
91.16%
▲
(+0.70)
Score analysis
Arsenal
78.75%
Draw
15.03%
Nottingham Forest
6.21%
Arsenal
2-0
@
16.12%
▲
(+0.37)
1-0 @ 13.85% ▲ (+0.28)
3-0 @ 12.5% ▲ (+0.29)
2-1 @ 7.96% ▼ (-0.19)
4-0 @ 7.28% ▲ (+0.19)
3-1 @ 6.18% ▼ (-0.14)
4-1 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.07)
5-0 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.10)
5-1 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.11)
6-0 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 78.75%
1-0 @ 13.85% ▲ (+0.28)
3-0 @ 12.5% ▲ (+0.29)
2-1 @ 7.96% ▼ (-0.19)
4-0 @ 7.28% ▲ (+0.19)
3-1 @ 6.18% ▼ (-0.14)
4-1 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.07)
5-0 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.10)
5-1 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.11)
6-0 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 78.75%
Draw
1-1
@
6.84%
▼
(-0.18)
0-0 @ 5.95% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 15.03%
0-0 @ 5.95% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 15.03%
Nottingham Forest
0-1
@
2.94%
▼
(-0.09)
1-2 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 6.21%
1-2 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 6.21%
Head to Head
FA Cup
-
Philip Zinckernagel
35'
-
Djed Spence
78'
-
Lewis Grabban
83'
-
Gabriel Martinelli
74'
EFL Cup
Gameweek
3
-
Martinelli
31'
-
Reiss Nelson
56'
-
Rob Holding
71'
-
Joe Willock
77'
-
Reiss Nelson
84'
-
Martinelli
92'
-
Jack Robinson
91'
FA Cup
-
Eric Lichaj
20'
-
Eric Lichaj
44'
-
Ben Brereton
64'
-
Kieran Dowell
85'
-
Joe Worrall
89'
-
Per Mertesacker
23'
-
Danny Welbeck
79'
-
Mathieu Debuchy
84'
-
David Ospina
85'
-
Per Mertesacker
86'
-
Danny Welbeck
86'
Premier League
-
Martin Keown
34'
Premier League
-
Emmanuel Petit
58'
-
Marc Overmars
79'
-
Geoff Thomas
78'
Premier League
-
Dennis Bergkamp
50'
-
Dennis Bergkamp
79'