Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 78.76%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 6.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.85%) and 3-0 (12.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.84%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 78.76% ( | 15.03% ( | 6.21% ( |
| Both teams to score 35.18% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.57% ( | 46.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.29% ( | 68.71% ( |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.25% ( | 9.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.55% ( | 32.45% ( |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 38.98% ( | 61.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 8.84% ( | 91.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 2-0 @ 16.12% ( 1-0 @ 13.85% ( 3-0 @ 12.5% ( 2-1 @ 7.96% ( 4-0 @ 7.28% ( 3-1 @ 6.18% ( 4-1 @ 3.6% ( 5-0 @ 3.39% ( 5-1 @ 1.67% ( 3-2 @ 1.53% ( 6-0 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 3.36% Total : 78.75% | 1-1 @ 6.84% ( 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 2-2 @ 1.97% ( Other @ 0.27% Total : 15.03% | 0-1 @ 2.94% ( 1-2 @ 1.69% ( Other @ 1.58% Total : 6.21% |