Champions League
Nov 2, 2022 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Raheem Sterling 18' goal
  • Denis Zakaria 30' goal
  • goal Bruno Petkovic 7'

Chelsea vs Dinamo Zagreb - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 25, 2022 5.45pm
Salzburg 1 - 2 Chelsea

Dinamo Zagreb

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 25, 2022 8.00pm
Dinamo Zagreb 0 - 4 AC Milan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 56.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 19.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Dinamo Zagreb win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result

Chelsea 56.09% (+0.05)
Draw 24.35% (-0.01)
Dinamo Zagreb 19.56% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.02% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.36% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 53.64% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 24.86% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 75.13% (+0.02)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 80.99% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 19.01% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 49.43% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 50.57% (-0.02)

Dinamo Zagreb Goals

Over 0.5 58.05% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 41.95% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 21.61% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 78.39% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Chelsea 56.08%
Draw 24.35%
Dinamo Zagreb 19.56%
Chelsea
1-0 @ 13.23% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 10.99% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.08% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.28% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.52% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.19% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 56.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.5%
0-0 @ 7.97% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.15% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 24.35%
Dinamo Zagreb
0-1 @ 6.93% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.01% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.45% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 19.56%

Head to Head

Champions League
Sep 6, 2022 5.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Maksimir
  • Mislav Orsic 13' goal

Build-up

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