Premier League Gameweek 16
Newcastle
Nov 12, 2022 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Chelsea
  • Joe Willock 67' goal

Newcastle United vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Nov 6, 2022 2.00pm
Southampton 1 - 4 Newcastle
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Callum Wilson

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Nov 6, 2022 12.00pm
Chelsea 0 - 1 Arsenal
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Kai Havertz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result

Newcastle United 35.4% ▲ (+0.60)
Draw 25.44% ▼ (-0.25)
Chelsea 39.16% ▼ (-0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.08% ▲ (+0.93)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.23% ▲ (+1.16)
Under 2.5 47.77% ▼ (-1.16)
Over 3.5 30.04% ▲ (+1.06)
Under 3.5 69.96% ▼ (-1.06)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 73.86% ▲ (+0.91)
Under 0.5 26.14% ▼ (-0.91)
Over 1.5 38.78% ▲ (+1.20)
Under 1.5 61.21% ▼ (-1.20)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 75.93% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 0.5 24.07% ▼ (-0.34)
Over 1.5 41.64% ▲ (+0.48)
Under 1.5 58.35% ▼ (-0.48)

Score analysis

Newcastle United 35.4%
Draw 25.43%
Chelsea 39.16%
Newcastle United
1-0 @ 8.44% ▼ (-0.19)
2-1 @ 8.07% ▲ (+0.11)
2-0 @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.14)
3-2 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.13)
3-0 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 35.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.02% ▼ (-0.16)
0-0 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.31)
2-2 @ 5.74% ▲ (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.43%
Chelsea
0-1 @ 8.96% ▼ (-0.35)
1-2 @ 8.56% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 6.38% ▼ (-0.19)
1-3 @ 4.06% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.03% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.09)
1-4 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 39.16%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 29
Chelsea
Mar 13, 2022 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Newcastle
  • Kai Havertz 39' yellowcard
  • Hakim Ziyech 58' yellowcard
  • Mateo Kovacic 87' yellowcard
  • Kai Havertz 89' goal
  • Antonio Rudiger 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jacob Murphy 50'
  • yellowcard Bruno Guimaraes 80'
  • yellowcard Dwight Gayle 90'+2'
Premier League Gameweek 10
Newcastle
Oct 30, 2021 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Chelsea
  • Isaac Hayden 17' yellowcard
  • Matt Ritchie 39' yellowcard
  • Jamaal Lascelles 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard N'Golo Kante 54'
  • yellowcard Hakim Ziyech 57'
  • goal Reece James 65'
  • goal Reece James 77'
  • goal Jorginho 81'
Premier League Gameweek 24
Chelsea
Feb 15, 2021 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Newcastle
  • Olivier Giroud 31' goal
  • Timo Werner 39' goal
Premier League Gameweek 9
Newcastle
Nov 21, 2020 12.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Chelsea
  • Isaac Hayden 39' yellowcard
  • Jacob Murphy 45' yellowcard
  • goal Federico Fernandez 10' (OG)
  • goal Tammy Abraham 65'
Premier League Gameweek 23
Newcastle
Jan 18, 2020 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Chelsea
  • Isaac Hayden 55' yellowcard
  • Isaac Hayden 94' goal
  • yellowcard Emerson Palmieri 84'
Premier League Gameweek 9
Chelsea
Oct 19, 2019 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Newcastle
  • Marcos Alonso 23' yellowcard
  • Fikayo Tomori 45' yellowcard
  • Marcos Alonso 73' goal
  • yellowcard Ciaran Clark 43'

Form Data

Newcastle 0 - 0 Crystal Palace
Southampton 1 - 4 Newcastle
Newcastle 4 - 0 Aston Villa
Spurs 1 - 2 Newcastle
Newcastle 1 - 0 Everton
Man Utd 0 - 0 Newcastle
Man City 2 - 0 Chelsea
Chelsea 0 - 1 Arsenal
Chelsea 2 - 1 Dinamo Zagreb
Brighton 4 - 1 Chelsea
Salzburg 1 - 2 Chelsea
Chelsea 1 - 1 Man Utd

Build-up

Team News
News