Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 16

Nov 12, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

St James' Park

Newcastle
1 - 0
Chelsea

Willock (67')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Newcastle 0-0 Crystal Palace (3-2 pen.)
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Chelsea

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Man City 2-0 Chelsea
Wednesday, November 9 at 8pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Chelsea
35.4% ( 6.51)	25.44% ( 0.19)	39.16% ( -6.7)

Both teams to score 56.08% (

1.88)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.23% (

1.32)

47.77% (

-1.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.04% (

1.21)

69.96% (

-1.21)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.86% (

4.89)

26.14% (

-4.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.78% (

6.13)

61.21% (

-6.13)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.93% (

-2.66)

24.07% (

2.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.64% (

-3.93)

58.35% (

3.93)

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 35.4%

Chelsea 39.16%

Draw 25.43%

Newcastle United	Draw	Chelsea
1-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.67) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( 1.05) 2-0 @ 5.66% ( 1.11) 3-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.87) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.46) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.76) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.41) Other @ 3.31% Total : 35.4%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.34) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.43%	0-1 @ 8.96% ( -1.28) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.67) 0-2 @ 6.38% ( -1.51) 1-3 @ 4.06% ( -0.68) 0-3 @ 3.03% ( -1.02) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.38) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.48) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.94% Total : 39.16%