Premier League Gameweek 15
Southampton
Nov 6, 2022 2.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT
Newcastle
  • Romain Perraud 89' goal
  • goal Miguel Almiron 35'
  • goal Chris Wood 58'
  • goal Joe Willock 62'
  • goal Bruno Guimaraes 90'+1'

Southampton vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
Crystal Palace 1 - 0 Southampton
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
James Ward-Prowse

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
Newcastle 4 - 0 Aston Villa
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Callum Wilson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result

Southampton 28.39% ▲ (+0.55)
Draw 24.66% ▲ (+0.33)
Newcastle United 46.94% ▼ (-0.87)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.77% ▼ (-0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.12% ▼ (-1.07)
Under 2.5 46.87% ▲ (+1.07)
Over 3.5 30.87% ▼ (-1.01)
Under 3.5 69.12% ▲ (+1.01)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 69.74% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 0.5 30.25% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 1.5 33.57% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 1.5 66.42% ▲ (+0.18)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 79.96% ▼ (-0.79)
Under 0.5 20.04% ▲ (+0.79)
Over 1.5 47.75% ▼ (-1.29)
Under 1.5 52.25% ▲ (+1.29)

Score analysis

Southampton 28.39%
Draw 24.66%
Newcastle United 46.94%
Southampton
1-0 @ 7.25% ▲ (+0.30)
2-1 @ 6.96% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.16)
3-1 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 28.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.65% ▲ (+0.19)
0-0 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.27)
2-2 @ 5.6% ▼ (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.66%
Newcastle United
0-1 @ 9.75% ▲ (+0.20)
1-2 @ 9.37% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 7.83% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.17)
0-3 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 3% ▼ (-0.12)
1-4 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.13)
0-4 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.10)
2-4 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 46.94%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 21
Southampton
Mar 10, 2022 7.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Newcastle
  • Stuart Armstrong 25' goal
  • Jan Bednarek 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jacob Murphy 16'
  • goal Chris Wood 32'
  • goal Bruno Guimaraes 52'
Premier League Gameweek 3
Newcastle
Aug 28, 2021 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Southampton
  • Fabian Schar 40' yellowcard
  • Callum Wilson 55' goal
  • Allan Saint-Maximin 90' goal
  • Jamaal Lascelles 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kyle Walker-Peters 30'
  • yellowcard Moussa Djenepo 56'
  • goal Mohamed Elyounoussi 74'
  • yellowcard James Ward-Prowse 79'
  • goal James Ward-Prowse 90'+6'
Premier League Gameweek 23
Newcastle
Feb 6, 2021 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 3 1
FT
Southampton
  • Jeff Hendrick 11' yellowcard
  • Joe Willock 16' goal
  • Miguel Almiron 26' goal
  • Emil Krafth 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Miguel Almiron 45'+4' goal
  • Jeff Hendrick 50' redcard
  • goal Takumi Minamino 30'
  • goal James Ward-Prowse 48'
  • yellowcard Jan Bednarek 73'
Premier League Gameweek 8
Southampton
Nov 6, 2020 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Newcastle
  • Che Adams 7' goal
  • Oriol Romeu 27' yellowcard
  • Stuart Armstrong 82' goal
  • yellowcard Federico Fernandez 43'
  • yellowcard Sean Longstaff 90'
Premier League Gameweek 29
Southampton
Mar 7, 2020 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
Newcastle
  • Moussa Djenepo 28' redcard
  • yellowcard Javi Manquillo 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Matt Ritchie 56'
  • goal Allan Saint-Maximin 79'
  • yellowcard Joelinton 90'
Premier League
Newcastle
Dec 8, 2019 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Southampton
  • Jonjo Shelvey 48' yellowcard
  • Jonjo Shelvey 68' goal
  • Federico Fernandez 87' goal
  • yellowcard James Ward-Prowse 44'
  • goal Danny Ings 52'
  • yellowcard Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg 62'
  • yellowcard Cedric Soares 67'

Form Data

Crystal Palace 1 - 0 Southampton
Southampton 1 - 1 Arsenal
Bournemouth 0 - 1 Southampton
Southampton 1 - 1 West Ham
Man City 4 - 0 Southampton
Southampton 1 - 2 Everton
Newcastle 4 - 0 Aston Villa
Spurs 1 - 2 Newcastle
Newcastle 1 - 0 Everton
Man Utd 0 - 0 Newcastle
Newcastle 5 - 1 Brentford
Fulham 1 - 4 Newcastle

Build-up

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