Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 15

Nov 6, 2022 at 2pm UK

St Mary's Stadium

Southampton
1 - 4
Newcastle

Perraud (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Almiron (35'), Wood (58'), Willock (62'), Guimaraes (90+1')

Reaction

Newcastle United players celebrate Miguel Almiron's goal against Southampton on November 6, 2022

Eddie Howe: 'Four-goal Newcastle United win feels a little flat'

Newcastle United manager Eddie Howe says that he 'felt a little flat' despite his side's 4-1 victory at Southampton on Sunday afternoon.

Nov 6, 17:47

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United move into third spot in the Premier League table courtesy of a 4-1 victory over Southampton at St Mary's.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-0 Southampton
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newcastle United

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle 4-0 Aston Villa
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Newcastle United
28.39% ( 0.55)	24.66% ( 0.32)	46.94% ( -0.87)

Both teams to score 55.77% (

-0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.12% (

-1.07)

46.87% (

1.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.87% (

-1)

69.12% (

1.01)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.74% (

-0.15)

30.25% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.57% (

-0.18)

66.42% (

0.18)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.96% (

-0.79)

20.04% (

0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.75% (

-1.28)

52.25% (

1.28)

Score Analysis

Southampton 28.39%

Newcastle United 46.94%

Draw 24.66%

Southampton	Draw	Newcastle United
1-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.12% Total : 28.39%	1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.66%	0-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 9.37% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.02% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 4.2% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 3% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.87% Total : 46.94%