Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crystal Palace in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Crystal Palace.
Result | ||
Crystal Palace | Draw | Southampton |
46.1% ( -0.12) | 26.2% ( 0.04) | 27.7% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 50.43% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.37% ( -0.11) | 53.63% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.87% ( -0.1) | 75.13% ( 0.1) |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.78% ( -0.1) | 23.22% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.87% ( -0.15) | 57.13% ( 0.15) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.68% ( 0) | 34.32% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.98% ( -0) | 71.02% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Crystal Palace | Draw | Southampton |
1-0 @ 11.63% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 46.09% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.2% | 0-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.23% Total : 27.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 33 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 76 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
11 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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