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Premier League | Gameweek 14
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Selhurst Park
Southampton logo

Crystal Palace
1 - 0
Southampton

Edouard (38')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Everton 3-0 Crystal Palace
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 1-1 Arsenal
Sunday, October 23 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crystal Palace in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Crystal Palace.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawSouthampton
46.1% (-0.117 -0.12)26.2% (0.040000000000003 0.04)27.7% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Both teams to score 50.43% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.37% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)53.63% (0.116 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.87% (-0.096 -0.1)75.13% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.78% (-0.10199999999999 -0.1)23.22% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.87% (-0.151 -0.15)57.13% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.68% (0.0019999999999953 0)34.32% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.98% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)71.02% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 46.09%
    Southampton 27.7%
    Draw 26.2%
Crystal PalaceDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 11.63% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.49% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.42% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 46.09%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.97% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 8.52% (0.039 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.66% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.56% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.37% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 27.7%

How you voted: Crystal Palace vs Southampton

Crystal Palace
69.0%
Draw
20.3%
Southampton
10.8%
158
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Southampton
1-2
Crystal Palace
Romeu (9')
Bednarek (16')
Eze (60'), Zaha (90+2')
Mateta (16'), McArthur (38'), Ward (45+2')
Dec 15, 2021 7.30pm
Crystal Palace
2-2
Southampton
Zaha (2'), Ayew (65')
Guehi (25'), Tomkins (73')
Ward-Prowse (32'), Broja (36')
Livramento (67'), Salisu (84'), Lyanco (88'), Caballero (90+6')
May 11, 2021 8.15pm
Southampton
3-1
Crystal Palace
Ings (19', 75'), Adams (48')
Bednarek (44'), Vestergaard (54')
Benteke (2')
Ayew (45+1'), Kouyate (77'), Zaha (90+2')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm