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Premier League | Gameweek 14
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Selhurst Park
Southampton logo

Crystal Palace
1 - 0
Southampton

Edouard (38')
Zaha (31'), Edouard (61'), Mitchell (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lyanco (31'), Salisu (40'), Elyounoussi (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crystal Palace

All competitions
Last Game: Everton 3-0 Crystal Palace
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Premier League

Southampton

All competitions
Last Game: Southampton 1-1 Arsenal
Sunday, October 23 at 2pm in Premier League

We said: Crystal Palace 2-1 Southampton

 Given Palace's prowess at Selhurst Park and Southampton's struggles on the road, a home win seems the likeliest outcome on Saturday. A certain amount of frustration carried over from their loss last week should see the hosts start on the front foot, with unstinting support from the stands helping them over the line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crystal Palace in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Crystal Palace.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawSouthampton
46.1% (-0.117 -0.12) 26.2% (0.040000000000003 0.04) 27.7% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Both teams to score 50.43% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.37% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)53.63% (0.116 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.87% (-0.096 -0.1)75.13% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.78% (-0.10199999999999 -0.1)23.22% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.87% (-0.151 -0.15)57.13% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.68% (0.0019999999999953 0)34.32% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.98% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)71.02% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 46.09%
    Southampton 27.7%
    Draw 26.2%
Crystal PalaceDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 11.63% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.49% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.42% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 46.09%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.97% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 8.52% (0.039 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.66% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.56% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.37% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 27.7%

How you voted: Crystal Palace vs Southampton

Crystal Palace
69.0%
Draw
20.3%
Southampton
10.8%
158
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Southampton
1-2
Crystal Palace
Romeu (9')
Bednarek (16')
Eze (60'), Zaha (90+2')
Mateta (16'), McArthur (38'), Ward (45+2')
Dec 15, 2021 7.30pm
Crystal Palace
2-2
Southampton
Zaha (2'), Ayew (65')
Guehi (25'), Tomkins (73')
Ward-Prowse (32'), Broja (36')
Livramento (67'), Salisu (84'), Lyanco (88'), Caballero (90+6')
May 11, 2021 8.15pm
Southampton
3-1
Crystal Palace
Ings (19', 75'), Adams (48')
Bednarek (44'), Vestergaard (54')
Benteke (2')
Ayew (45+1'), Kouyate (77'), Zaha (90+2')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
Crystal Palace
1-0
Southampton
Zaha (13')
Schlupp (41'), McCarthy (58')

Walker-Peters (51')
Jan 21, 2020 7.30pm
Crystal Palace
0-2
Southampton
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
5Chelsea21107441261537
6Bournemouth22107536261037
7Aston Villa2210663334-136
8Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
9Fulham228953430433
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2171043229331
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd217592629-326
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs21731143321124
16Everton203891526-1117
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2137112037-1716
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2113171347-346
> Premier League Full Table


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