Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 23

Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK

Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
1 - 1
Brentford

Trossard (66')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Toney (74')

Reaction

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta reacts on February 11, 2023

Mikel Arteta: 'VAR mistake against Brentford not acceptable'

Mikel Arteta affirms that the VAR mistake in Arsenal's 1-1 draw with Brentford last weekend is "not acceptable" and the Gunners boss has accused official Lee Mason of "not understanding" his job.

Feb 14, 19:30

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Everton 1-0 Arsenal
Saturday, February 4 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brentford

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Brentford 3-0 Southampton
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 76.25%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 9.18%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.77%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (2.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal	Draw	Brentford
76.25% ( 0.01)	14.58% ( -0.03)	9.18% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 52.03% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.35% (

0.22)

32.65% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.68% (

0.25)

54.32% (

-0.25)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.93% (

0.06)

7.07% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.19% (

0.13)

25.81% (

-0.13)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.99% (

0.2)

44.01% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.87% (

0.17)

80.13% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Arsenal 76.25%

Brentford 9.18%

Draw 14.58%

Arsenal	Draw	Brentford
2-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 9.64% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.52% Total : 76.25%	1-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.02% Total : 14.58%	1-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.05% 2-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 9.18%