Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brentford | Draw | Southampton |
| 45.91% ( | 25.49% ( | 28.6% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.23% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.74% ( | 50.26% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.79% ( | 72.21% ( |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.12% ( | 21.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.87% ( | 55.13% ( |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.14% ( | 31.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.7% ( | 68.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Brentford | Draw | Southampton |
| 1-0 @ 10.59% ( 2-1 @ 9.21% 2-0 @ 8.05% ( 3-1 @ 4.66% ( 3-0 @ 4.08% ( 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.33% Total : 45.91% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 3-3 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 7.97% ( 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0-2 @ 4.56% ( 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0-3 @ 1.74% ( Other @ 2.75% Total : 28.6% |