Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 17

Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK

St Mary's Stadium

Southampton
1 - 3
Brighton

Ward-Prowse (73')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Lallana (14'), Perraud (35' og.), March (56')

The Match

Match Report

Nathan Jones's first Premier League home game in charge of Southampton ends in a 3-1 loss to Brighton & Hove Albion.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Southampton 2-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, December 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Charlton 0-0 Brighton (4-3 pen.)
Wednesday, December 21 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
32.36% ( 0.24)	25.2% ( 0.03)	42.44% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 56.12% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.62% (

-0.07)

47.37% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.4% (

-0.06)

69.59% (

0.06)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.2% (

0.12)

27.8% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.61% (

0.16)

63.39% (

-0.16)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.73% (

-0.16)

22.27% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.28% (

-0.24)

55.71% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Southampton 32.36%

Brighton & Hove Albion 42.44%

Draw 25.19%

Southampton	Draw	Brighton & Hove Albion
1-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.36%	1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.19%	0-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 42.44%