Premier League Gameweek 17
Dec 26, 2022 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • James Ward-Prowse 73' goal
  • goal Adam Lallana 14'
  • goal Romain Perraud 35' (OG)
  • goal Solly March 56'

Southampton vs Brighton & Hove Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Nov 12, 2022 3.00pm
Liverpool 3 - 1 Southampton
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
James Ward-Prowse

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
Nov 13, 2022 2.00pm
Brighton 1 - 2 Aston Villa
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Alexis Mac Allister

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result

Southampton 32.36% (+0.25)
Draw 25.2% (+0.04)
Brighton & Hove Albion 42.44% (-0.28)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.12% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.62% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 47.37% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 30.4% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 69.59% (+0.07)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 72.2% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 27.8% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 36.61% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 63.39% (-0.16)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 77.73% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 22.27% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 44.28% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 55.71% (+0.24)

Score analysis

Southampton 32.36%
Draw 25.19%
Brighton & Hove Albion 42.44%
Southampton
1-0 @ 7.93% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 7.62% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.07% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.25% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.44% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.16% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.04% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 32.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.9% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.19% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.72% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.19%
Brighton & Hove Albion
0-1 @ 9.3% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.94% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 6.98% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 4.48% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 3.5% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.87% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.68% (-0.03)
0-4 @ 1.31% (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 42.44%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 34
Apr 24, 2022 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Danny Welbeck 2' goal
  • Mohammed Salisu 44' goal
  • Marc Cucurella 45'+3' yellowcard
  • goal James Ward-Prowse 45'+4'
  • goal James Ward-Prowse 54'
Premier League Gameweek 15
Dec 4, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Armando Broja 29' goal
  • Nathan Tella 69' yellowcard
  • Mohammed Salisu 80' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Elyounoussi 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Oriol Romeu 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shane Duffy 45'
  • yellowcard Yves Bissouma 74'
  • goal Neal Maupay 90'+8'
Premier League Gameweek 28
Mar 14, 2021 12.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Che Adams 27' goal
  • goal Lewis Dunk 16'
  • goal Leandro Trossard 56'
Premier League Gameweek 11
Dec 7, 2020 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Pascal Gross 26' goal
  • Lewis Dunk 56' yellowcard
  • Pascal Gross 80' yellowcard
  • Yves Bissouma 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Moussa Djenepo 13'
  • goal Jannik Vestergaard 45'
  • yellowcard Oriol Romeu 47'
  • goal Danny Ings 81'
  • yellowcard Alex McCarthy 87'
Premier League Gameweek 36
Jul 16, 2020 8.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Oriol Romeu 7' yellowcard
  • Danny Ings 66' goal
  • goal Neal Maupay 17'
Premier League Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2019 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Florin Andone 30' redcard
  • Martin Montoya 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Ward-Prowse 21'
  • goal Moussa Djenepo 55'
  • yellowcard Moussa Djenepo 62'
  • yellowcard Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg 82'
  • goal Nathan Redmond 91'