EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Third Round

Nov 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton
1 - 1
Sheff Weds

Ward-Prowse (45+2' pen.)

FT
(aet)

Windass (24')

Southampton win 6-5 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

Southampton progress to the fourth round of the EFL Cup by beating League One side Sheffield Wednesday on penalties.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Southampton and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Southampton 1-4 Newcastle
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sheffield Wednesday

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-0 Morecambe
Friday, November 4 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 48.51%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.07%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Southampton win was 2-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%).

Result
Southampton	Draw	Sheffield Wednesday
28.31% ( -0.1)	23.19% ( -0.02)	48.51% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 60.78% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.76% (

0.01)

40.24% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.39% (

0.01)

62.61% (

-0.01)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.08% (

-0.07)

26.92% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.75% (

-0.09)

62.25% (

0.09)

Sheffield Wednesday Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.17% (

0.05)

16.83% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.18% (

0.08)

46.82% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Southampton 28.31%

Sheffield Wednesday 48.51%

Draw 23.18%

Southampton	Draw	Sheffield Wednesday
2-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.05% Total : 28.31%	1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.18%	1-2 @ 9.44% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.61% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.68% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.64% ( 0) Other @ 4.2% Total : 48.51%