EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Round of 16

Dec 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton
2 - 1
Lincoln

Adams (25', 74')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bazunu (2' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Southampton and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Liverpool 3-1 Southampton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lincoln City

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Lincoln 4-2 Everton U21s
Tuesday, December 13 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Southampton in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Southampton.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Lincoln City
49.09% ( -0.33)	23.78% ( -0.13)	27.13% ( 0.45)

Both teams to score 57.74% (

0.84)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.17% (

0.93)

43.83% (

-0.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.78% (

0.9)

66.22% (

-0.9)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.03% (

0.23)

17.97% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.18% (

0.39)

48.82% (

-0.4)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.39% (

0.83)

29.61% (

-0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.35% (

65.65% (

-1)

Score Analysis

Southampton 49.09%

Lincoln City 27.13%

Draw 23.78%

Southampton	Draw	Lincoln City
2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.62% Total : 49.09%	1-1 @ 11.11% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.22) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.78%	1-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.25% Total : 27.13%