EFL Cup
Dec 20, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Che Adams 25' goal
  • Che Adams 74' goal
  • goal Gavin Bazunu 2' (OG)

Southampton vs Lincoln City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

Lincoln City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Southampton in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Southampton.

Result

Southampton 49.09% (-0.33)
Draw 23.78% (-0.13)
Lincoln City 27.13% (+0.46)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.74% (+0.85)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.17% (+0.93)
Under 2.5 43.83% (-0.94)
Over 3.5 33.78% (+0.91)
Under 3.5 66.22% (-0.91)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 82.03% (+0.23)
Under 0.5 17.97% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 51.18% (+0.40)
Under 1.5 48.82% (-0.40)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5 70.39% (+0.83)
Under 0.5 29.61% (-0.84)
Over 1.5 34.35% (+1.00)
Under 1.5 65.65% (-1.00)

Score analysis

Southampton 49.09%
Draw 23.78%
Lincoln City 27.13%
Southampton
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 9.14% (-0.31)
2-0 @ 7.84% (-0.21)
3-1 @ 5.46% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.49% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 3.32% (+0.10)
4-1 @ 2.34% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.92% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.43% (+0.06)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 49.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.11% (-0.12)
2-2 @ 5.81% (+0.12)
0-0 @ 5.32% (-0.22)
3-3 @ 1.35% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.78%
Lincoln City
1-2 @ 6.76% (+0.09)
0-1 @ 6.48% (-0.12)
0-2 @ 3.94% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.74% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 2.36% (+0.11)
0-3 @ 1.6% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 27.13%