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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 36.46% ( | 26.78% ( | 36.75% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.62% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.52% ( | 53.48% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25% ( | 75% |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.76% ( | 28.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.06% ( | 63.94% ( |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.93% ( | 28.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.28% ( | 63.72% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 1-0 @ 10.02% ( 2-1 @ 8.05% ( 2-0 @ 6.34% ( 3-1 @ 3.39% ( 3-0 @ 2.67% ( 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 4-1 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 36.46% | 1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 7.92% ( 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 10.06% ( 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0-2 @ 6.4% ( 1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0-3 @ 2.71% ( 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 1-4 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 2.81% Total : 36.75% |