League One Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT LNER Stadium
  • Joe Walsh 17' goal
  • Ben House 67' goal
  • goal Jensen Weir 81'

Lincoln City vs Morecambe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last game
Nov 12, 2022 3.00pm
Lincoln 1 - 1 Plymouth
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Ben House

Morecambe

All competitions
Last game
Nov 12, 2022 3.00pm
Morecambe 1 - 1 Portsmouth
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Cole Stockton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 53.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 21.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result

Lincoln City 53.05% (-0.05)
Draw 25.21% (+0.02)
Morecambe 21.74% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.62% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.57% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 54.43% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 24.2% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 75.8% (+0.04)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5 79.48% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 20.52% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 46.98% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 53.02% (+0.06)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5 59.92% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 40.08% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 23.27% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 76.72% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Lincoln City 53.04%
Draw 25.2%
Morecambe 21.74%
Lincoln City
1-0 @ 13.02% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 10.31% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.45% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.98% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.16% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 53.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 8.22% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.2%
Morecambe
0-1 @ 7.52% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.44% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.44% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.66% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.31%
0-3 @ 1.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 21.74%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 32
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Morgan Whittaker 10' goal
  • Cohen Bramall 19' goal
  • Joe Walsh 42' yellowcard
  • Chris Maguire 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Toumani Diagouraga 56'
  • yellowcard Jacob Bedeau 90'+2'
League One Gameweek 10
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Cole Stockton 53' goal
  • Ryan McLaughlin 55' yellowcard
  • Scott Wootton 79' goal
League Two Gameweek 34
Feb 23, 2019 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Globe Arena (Morecambe, Lancashire)
  • Luke Conlan 67' yellowcard
  • goal Bruno Andrade 10'
  • goal Bruno Andrade 57'
  • yellowcard Michael Bostwick 77'
League Two Gameweek 22
Dec 15, 2018 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Sincil Bank Stadium (Lincoln, Lincolnshire)
  • Harry Anderson 7' goal
  • John Akinde 33' goal
  • Jason Shackell 37' goal
  • Michael O'Connor 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luke Conlan 61'
  • goal Kevin Ellison 80'
  • yellowcard Sam Lavelle 87'
League Two
Mar 24, 2018 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Danny Rowe 85'
League Two
Aug 12, 2017 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Matt Green 70' goal
  • goal Aaron Wildig 53'