League One

League One | Gameweek 19

Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK

LNER Stadium

Lincoln
2 - 1
Morecambe

Walsh (17'), House (67')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Weir (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Morecambe

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Morecambe 1-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 53.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 21.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln City	Draw	Morecambe
53.05% ( -0.05)	25.21% ( 0.02)	21.74% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 47.62% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.57% (

-0.04)

54.43% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.2% (

-0.04)

75.8% (

0.03)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.48% (

-0.04)

20.52% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.98% (

-0.06)

53.02% (

0.05)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.92% (

40.08% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.27% (

76.72% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Lincoln City 53.04%

Morecambe 21.74%

Draw 25.2%

Lincoln City	Draw	Morecambe
1-0 @ 13.02% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 53.04%	1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.2%	0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.44% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.66% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.31% 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 1.32% Total : 21.74%