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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 61.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 17.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.02%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Portsmouth |
17.15% ( -0.04) | 21.82% ( -0.05) | 61.03% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 50.33% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.02% ( 0.15) | 46.97% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.78% ( 0.14) | 69.22% ( -0.14) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.15% ( 0.04) | 40.85% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.58% ( 0.03) | 77.42% ( -0.04) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.09% ( 0.08) | 14.9% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.72% ( 0.15) | 43.28% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Portsmouth |
1-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.39% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 17.15% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 21.81% | 0-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 11.02% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0) 0-3 @ 7% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.27% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 3.33% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.98% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 61.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 40 |
2 | Wrexham | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 40 |
3 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 39 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 35 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 33 |
6 | Reading | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 31 |
7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 30 |
8 | Barnsley | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 27 |
9 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 27 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 24 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 23 |
13 | Blackpool | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 23 |
14 | Stevenage | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 21 |
16 | Leyton Orient | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 20 |
20 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 20 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Burton Albion | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 11 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |