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Morecambe
League One | Gameweek 18
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Portsmouth

Morecambe
1 - 1
Portsmouth

Shaw (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bishop (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Morecambe and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 61.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 17.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.02%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawPortsmouth
17.15% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)21.82% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)61.03% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 50.33% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.02% (0.145 0.15)46.97% (-0.149 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.78% (0.136 0.14)69.22% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.15% (0.035000000000004 0.04)40.85% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.58% (0.032 0.03)77.42% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.09% (0.076000000000008 0.08)14.9% (-0.081 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.72% (0.14700000000001 0.15)43.28% (-0.153 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 17.15%
    Portsmouth 61.02%
    Draw 21.81%
MorecambeDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 5.45% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 4.65% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.44% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.39% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.32% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 17.15%
1-1 @ 10.37% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.09% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 21.81%
0-1 @ 11.58% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 11.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.88% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 7% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.27% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
0-4 @ 3.33% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.98% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.81% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.34% (0.01 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.27% (0.01 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.14% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 61.02%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Portsmouth

Morecambe
0.0%
Draw
20.0%
Portsmouth
80.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Feb 28, 2017 7.45pm
Aug 16, 2016 7.45pm
Morecambe
2-0
Portsmouth
Edwards (10'), Barkhuizen (21')
Stockton (65'), Fleming (79'), Molyneux (93')

Doyle (67'), Stevens (91')
Feb 2, 2016 7.45pm