Portsmouth
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Fratton Park
AFC Wimbledon

Portsmouth
1 - 1
AFC Wimbledon

Curtis (15')
FT
(aet)
Assal (50')
Portsmouth win 3-1 on penalties
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Portsmouth and AFC Wimbledon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 3-2 Harrogate
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 64.31%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 14.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.95%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
PortsmouthDrawAFC Wimbledon
64.31% (0.096000000000004 0.1)20.9% (0.299 0.3)14.79% (-0.394 -0.39)
Both teams to score 48.01% (-1.902 -1.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.64% (-2.049 -2.05)47.35% (2.049 2.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.43% (-1.928 -1.93)69.57% (1.93 1.93)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.99% (-0.614 -0.61)14% (0.617 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.46% (-1.224 -1.22)41.53% (1.226 1.23)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.83% (-1.799 -1.8)44.17% (1.801 1.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.74% (-1.509 -1.51)80.26% (1.511 1.51)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 64.31%
    AFC Wimbledon 14.79%
    Draw 20.9%
PortsmouthDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 12.16% (0.76 0.76)
2-0 @ 11.95% (0.49 0.49)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
3-0 @ 7.83% (0.146 0.15)
3-1 @ 6.4% (-0.201 -0.2)
4-0 @ 3.85% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.15% (-0.173 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.219 -0.22)
5-0 @ 1.51% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.14 -0.14)
5-1 @ 1.24% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 64.31%
1-1 @ 9.94% (0.141 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.19% (0.514 0.51)
2-2 @ 3.99% (-0.239 -0.24)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 20.9%
0-1 @ 5.05% (0.183 0.18)
1-2 @ 4.06% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-2 @ 2.07% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.11% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.09% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 14.79%

Head to Head
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
AFC Wimbledon
0-0
Portsmouth

Woodyard (25'), McCormick (90+3')

Harness (19'), Romeo (50')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Portsmouth
2-1
AFC Wimbledon
Jacobs (63'), Harness (89')
Brown (28')
Palmer (24' pen.)
Assal (65')
Sep 7, 2021 7.45pm
AFC Wimbledon
5-3
Portsmouth
Kalambayi (2'), Presley (43', 80' pen.), Nightingale (87'), McCormick (90+4')
Lawrence (72')
Harrison (45+4', 52', 78')
Mnoga (2')
May 1, 2021 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
1-3
Portsmouth
Pigott (23')
Pigott (15'), Dobson (19'), Alexander (37')
Curtis (24'), Brown (45', 45+4')
Curtis (38')
Jan 19, 2021 7pm
Portsmouth
4-0
AFC Wimbledon
Marquis (28'), Williams (36'), Raggett (44'), Close (89')